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While the market for vehicles with some form of electrified powertrain system continues to increase, the ICE will continue to play a dominant part in passenger vehicles. It’s forecast that the majority of vehicles produced globally in 2030 are still expected to have an ICE fitted.


While globalisation is often referred to, regional market dynamics mean a ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach must never be assumed. Taking a closer look at two examples—China and the European Union—allows us to see some of the unique dynamics, opportunities and challenges which each are facing.


infrastructure development, together with air quality improvement and a growing middle class, are having a direct impact on the automotive market.


Real world testing, increased requirements for emissions durability, turbo gasoline direct injection (TGDI) engine usage and protection from low speed pre-ignition (LSPI), as well as the influence of European original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), are all driving the Chinese market towards higher performance and more fuel-efficient lubricants. In practice, today’s lower viscosity Society of Automotive Engineers SAE 5W-30 and 5W-40 engine lubricants will be superseded by more efficient SAE 0W-20 and 0W-16 viscosity grades between now and 2025.


European Union Today’s European automotive market continues to increase.


The existing Euro 6 emissions standard, which came into force for all vehicles in 2015, is under review by the EU, with the potential for Euro 7 to set much more stringent emission limits for 2030 than seen today.


Societal drivers including the growth in Eastern Europe, the need for air quality improvement, the decline in light-duty diesel, together with the availability of new ownership models and mobility services are all having a direct impact on the automotive market.


China


China is forecast to have the largest growth in passenger cars of any country in the world.


China is set to introduce the China 6a standard in 2020, followed by China 6b in 2023—acknowledged by many as one of the most stringent emission standards globally.


Societal drivers, which include continued gross domestic product (GDP) growth, urbanisation and


The evolution of the powertrain, real world testing, dealership network consolidation as well as the influence of European OEMs and ACEA globally means that today’s European automotive market is becoming more dynamic and complex than ever before. For the engine lubricant, lower viscosity grade SAE 5W-30 will be superseded by more efficient and higher performance SAE 0W-20 and 0W-16 grades.


Global Impact on Lubricants Such changes are having a significant impact on the design of today’s modern passenger car engine lubricants. New specifications are being developed which require higher performance lubricant solutions. Emission reductions are being enabled by lower Sulphated Ash, Phosphorous and Sulphur (SAPS) additive technology to protect aftertreatment systems. Continued on page 12


LUBE MAGAZINE NO.151 JUNE 2019 11


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