BEST PICTURE
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME DARKEST HOUR DUNKIRK GET OUT LADY BIRD PHANTOM THREAD THE POST THE SHAPE OF WATER THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
I’m happy to see self-aware comedy horror Get Out nominated, and whilst Tree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, a darkly comic drama of justice and revenge, is certainly worthy of the win, my money is on Te Shape of Water. Del Toro’s fishy tale really hits its mark, and should mean that it nets the big prize.
BEST DIRECTOR
CHRISTOPHER NOLAN - DUNKIRK JORDAN PEELE
- GET OUT GRETA GERWIG
- LADY BIRD PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
- PHANTOM THREADBUT GUILLERMO DEL TORO - THE SHAPE OF WATER
Again, great to see Jordan Peele get the credit he so richly deserves, as it is to see Greta Gerwig in the running, but this is between Christopher Nolan and Guillermo Del Toro. It’s damn close, but I’m going with Nolan’s technical precision over Del Toro’s fantastically realised vision, but I wouldn’t be surprised if I’m wrong on the night.
BEST ACTOR
TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET - CALL ME BY YOUR NAME DANIEL DAY-LEWIS - HANTOM THREAD DANIEL KALUUYA - GET OUT GARY OLDMAN - DARKEST HOUR DENZEL WASHINGTON - ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ.
Timothée Chalamet’s turn as a gay, Jewish teenager coming of age certainly ticks a lot of Oscar boxes, and both Denzel and Daniel have taken away the trophy more than once, but I think Gary Oldman’s unbelievable performance as Churchill simply can’t be ignored. If he wins it will elevate him into a club that he so richly deserves to be in, and I think that this is his year.
BEST ACTRESS
SALLY HAWKINS - THE SHAPE OF WATER FRANCES MCDORMAND - THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI MARGOT ROBBIE - I, TONYA SAOIRSE RONAN - LADY BIRD MERYL STREEP - THE POST
Sorry Meryl, not this year, and I don’t think Margot Robbie’s brilliantly tragi-funny performance is going to be enough, sadly. Now here’s where I go out on a limb – I think that the award will go to… Sally Hawkins! She certainly deserves it for her sterling work, but let’s not forget that Frances McDormand is hotly tipped to win this one after she also acting her socks off, so again, I could be wrong.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
WILLEM DAFOE - THE FLORIDA PROJECT WOODY HARRELSON - THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI RICHARD JENKINS - THE SHAPE OF WATER CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER - ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD SAM ROCKWELL - THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Plummer’s nom is one surrounded in chatter, after he stepped in at the last minute to play famous money-bags J. Paul Getty following Kevin Spacey being wiped from existence in the wake of
allegations made against him. Will that factor in on the win? I think that Sam Rockwell will scoop this one for his complex portrayal of a violent, bigoted small town cop.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
MARY J. BLIGE - MUDBOUND ALLISON JANNEY - I, TONYA LESLEY MANVILLE - PHANTOM THREAD LAURIE METCALF - LADY BIRD OCTAVIA SPENCER - THE SHAPE OF WATER
A win for Mary J would also be a win for Netflix here, and the reviews out of Sundance certainly add weight to the idea, but she’s up against one of Laurie Metcalf’s best roles in Greta Gerwig’s Lady Bird, and Alison Janney’s superb performance in I, Tonya. Maybe M.J will get best song instead, because I predict that this one will be going home in Janney’s handbag.
Well, that’s all there is folks. I’ll be staying up late on the 4th to see if I’m right. One thing’s for sure, the combination of running high tensions and live television mean that anything can happen. It should be a hell of a show.
Smiley
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