TECHNICAL REPOR FX T FX EMERGING MARKETS – FEATURED RATE – USD/ZAR
USD/ZAR accelerated the advance from the 6.549 low established in 2011 through the 2008 & 2001 peaks at 11.870 & 13.856, reaching a peak of 17.806 in January 2016, ahead of the latest correction lower.
Just over 38.2% of the advance has been
corrected, so far finding support of the uptrend line connecting a series of lows from 2011 to 2014. As yet, a key higher low is unconfirmed at 13.178 and
the risk is for a deeper retreat towards 12.178 (50% retracement) and possibly former resistance around the 11.388-11.870 area, before attempting to resume the multi-year advance. Clearing the May 2016 lower top at 15.972 will be a sign that the uptrend is resuming, initially targeted towards 17.806-18.106, with potential for 22.945-22.951 (two longer-term Fibonacci projections) over the next couple of years.
USD/ZAR Monthly Candlestick Chart
MAJOR TRENDS AND TARGETS FOR FX MERGING MARKETS As at 20-Dec-16 EUR/CZK EUR/HUF EUR/PLN EUR/RON USD/ILS USD/RUB USD/TRL USD/ZAR EUR/RUB EUR/ZAR
Current level 27.020 311.10 4.4090 4.5200 3.8560 61.70
3.5065 14.135 64.10
14.685
Major trend Up Up Up Up
Flat Flat Up Up
Flat Flat
Source: Tradermade
Major targets
28.795 / 29.671 326.68 / 349.93 4.5988 / 4.6677 4.6511 / 4.8234
Trend change level 25.485 295.73 4.0939 4.3723
4.00 / 4.50 15.972 / 17.806
3.6949 / 3.9884 48.79 / 71.59 2.75
11.388 52.40 / 83.57 12.673 / 16.548
FX TRADER MAGAZINE January - March 2017 71
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