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When you look at the nature of


demand for the next 30 years, the majority will be short-haul


distribution systems and on eight out of ten Gatwick carriers. In any case, Stephenson argues, the bulk of Gatwick passengers, and indeed, the UK’s, are flying point-to-point, with Gatwick already boasting 46 of Europe’s top 50 business destinations and 11 domestic routes. “When you look at the nature of demand for the next 30 years, the majority will be short-haul. We happen to think that building a mega-hub at huge cost is not the way to solve that. BA will be its biggest user, does not have a growth strategy and has all the slots it needs. You’re building it to deliver an important, but really small, part of the demand over the next 30 years, so why do it?”


PSYCHOLOGICAL BARRIERS For many, Gatwick’s Achilles’ heel has always been its distance from the capital – if only a psychological one, given the 30-minute train journey time. Stephenson protests that Gatwick is no further than Seoul’s Incheon or Beijing’s planned Daxing airport and that connectivity is about to improve drastically, with the number of directly linked stations rising from 129 to 175 by 2020 and the Brighton- Bedford Thameslink route extending to Cambridge – a near tripling of capacity over the next 20 years. “It will be as big as Crossrail,” he enthuses. More immediately, there will be one train to the capital every two-and-a-half minutes by 2019, and Gatwick will become part of the Oyster network this autumn.


The debate will rumble on for the next


year. Heathrow claims to be confident that it has already won the war, but even if Gatwick loses, it will have won a few arguments on the way.


BUYINGBUSINESSTRAVEL.COM BBT JULY/AUGUST 2014 25


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