As a result, most economists are now expecting
to see a recovery in activity over the second half of the year, followed by strong growth in 2021. Expectations are that economic growth in 2021 will be bolstered by low international interest rates alongside continued support from central banks and governments as the global economy returns to the new normal, creating a strong backdrop for risk assets in the medium to long term. It is now evident that although markets are expecting a recession and volatility in the short term as we move into the new market cycle, they are pricing in a recovery in the medium term as the major risks abate. On this basis, we are becoming increasingly bullish on equities. On reflection, conditions during the first half of the year have been extremely challenging for
investors, however moving forward we are encouraged by positive news flow on the return of economic activity in key economies, alongside an improving health situation as the virus comes under control. Of course, there is the risk of a second wave, however we are encouraged by efforts within China to quickly stamp out a second cluster of infections, and the use of track and trace systems in coun- tries across the world to maintain control over the virus. At OCM, our investors have benefitted from the implementation of a capital preservation strategy during the first week of March, before returning to markets in the first week of April, allowing us to reduce exposure to market volatility and excessive decline over the period. Against this backdrop, and with the previous market cycle finally coming to an end, looking ahead to the second half of the year and beyond, we are optimistic on the outlook and subsequently returns for our clients moving forward.
Contact OCM Wealth Management on 01604 621467 or visit
www.ocmwealthmanagement.co.uk
ALL THINGS BUSINESS
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