HEALTH ▶▶▶


Typical back- yard farm for finishing pigs in Central Visayas.


Porcine Epidemic Diarrhoea (PED) in the past. A major out- break of FMD across the Philippines occurred in 1995, but was finally restrained by vaccination and eradication to central Lu- zon by 2004, with Visayas and Mindanao then being declared free. The Philippines including Luzon, was finally declared


free of FMD in 2011. There was therefore a number of years where Luzon was FMD positive but other regions remained negative. Currently the aims are to restrict the spread of ASF to central Luzon, with the Mindanao and Visayas regions hopefully remaining free. A projection of the likely impact of ASF across each nation of South-East Asia, based on its likely impact on commercial and backyard farms, indicates that the Philippines is third only to China and Vietnam in the major losses likely to happen, see Table 1. The calculations are based on a likely infection rate and consequent complete losses among larger commercial farms of 30 % and in backyard farms of 80% of each type of farm. Changes in the price of pigs and market pressures for likely re- duction in supply of pigs are well-recognised features of the aftermath of ASF arrival into a pig farming nation. Some esti- mates foresee a rise in price of 30-50% in the price of locally produced pork, thus a major reduction in pig numbers can still be tolerated by pig farming businesses to a certain extent. The volume of pork imports is also likely to rise. The imports of pork into the Philippines in 2017 was recorded at 261,000 metric tonnes, with a value of around US$ 400,000 (€ 366,000).


The author can be reached at smcorist@scolexia.com.au. PIG PROGRESS


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