RAW MATERIALS ▶▶▶
Europe grows 10 million tonnes of soy- beans. This volume is ex- pected to grow to 15 million tonnes by 2030.
Changing dynamics USDA Economic Research Service researchers that include Senior Economist Fred Gale explain that (as explained in their report USDA Agricultural Projections to 2030) “Chi- nese demand will drive continued growth in soybean trade over the next 10 years, as world soybean imports climb by 46.9 million tonnes (26.7 percent) to 222.7 million tonnes.” Brazil is expected to be the leading country for soybean ex- ports through 2030. In addition, the dynamics of world pro- duction have changed a great deal in recent decades. In a new book, Crop Physiology Case Histories for Major Crops, the authors note that in the early 1990s, the US accounted for half of global soybean production, while Brazil and Ar- gentina produced about a quarter. “The share of global soy- bean production among these three countries has changed drastically over the past three decades,” they state, “with Brazil and Argentina together now accounting for half of global production and the US producing a third.” There are a few main factors that may affect world soybean production for animal feed, chief among them being the success of plant-based food products and world population. The Unit- ed Nations projects world population to be 9.7 billion by 2050.
Rise of synthetic amino acids Currrently, there are about 100 countries where soybeans are grown and probably all of them use SBM in livestock diets. Poultry is the largest consumer of global production (37%) according to an analysis published by the University of Oxford’s Food Climate Research Network (using USDA data up to 2018). One-fifth is fed to pigs and 6% goes to aquaculture. Very little (2%) is fed to cattle and the rest is used in human food products and dog food. SBM will remain a crucial feed
22 ▶ ALL ABOUT FEED | Volume 29, No. 9, 2021
ingredient for many livestock species, but environmental, so- cietal and trade pressures are reducing its use in some areas of the world. More environmentally-friendly alternatives to soybeans produced in South America, such as insect meal, lupin, algae and many others, are actively being examined in some countries.
“Soybeans can be an excellent choice for
European crop farmers”
However, China’s government directed the country’s pig pro- duction sector earlier this year to use alternatives to SBM where possible, in order to reduce its reliance on imported soybeans, no matter the country of origin. This comes after China imported a record amount of soybeans in 2020. In ad- dition, in the EU the need for soybeans in pig and poultry ra- tions may decrease quite significantly in future in that region, now that the ban has been lifted on using some animal by-products in feed. Lastly, because synthetic amino acids can now be produced economically in large volumes, they represent another way that the use of SBM in livestock feeds can be reduced. Accord- ing to the UN FAO report Protein Sources For The Animal Feed Industry, “it is suggested that…if 550,000 tonnes of L-lysine hydrochloride is used globally, it could replace 18 million tonnes of SBM, representing about half of US SBM production.”
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