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FX CURRENCY WATCH by Keith Raphael


Post - Dollar Bull Market


Medium-term Consolidation Continues for Another Quarter


In addition, our second technical forecast for Bitcoin


As discussed in the last four quarterly FX Trader Magazines, the U.S. Dollar has moved from the ongoing forecast seven-year bull market to a top building pattern of various types depending on the currency as well as depending on the other assets. Te sideways consolidation, in the Euro/Dollar in particular, throughout the last half of 2017, reverted the Dollar to neutral. In addition, the


28 FX TRADER MAGAZINE April - June 2018


neutral status was accompanied by the classic currency and commodity asset rotation throughout their individual, unique consolidations, further clouding the underlying trends and correlations.


In this article, we will remain focused on the long-term outlook in these assets and refine the timing of the exit from bottom building in most currencies against the


U.S. Dollar. We continue to believe that the U.S. Dollar is the lead indicator for all [non-equities] asset classes, and the volatility of 2017 will continue to subside through the middle of 2018.


Lastly, we will continue to forecast Bitcoin, added to the mix of our medium- term technical shortcomings.


forecasting despite its


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