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DESTINATION REPORT BY CATHERINE CHETWYND


When the market does finally come back, it may be too late; it is time to invest ahead of the curve


POLES APART However, it looks as though Poland may have benefited from the turn away from Russia. “Poland is of greatest significance. It has a lot of big cities – Warsaw, Krakow, Poznan and the Three Cities – Gdansk, Gdynia and Sopot – and it is ripe for budget hotel development,” says Melvin Gold. Rezidor recently acquired a stake in German economy brand Prizeotel and properties in Eastern Europe follow. Hotel management company Hotels


Development Europe represents investors in Wroclaw, where a Doubletree by Hilton is opening as part of a Ð100 million project, which president Yossi Wircer describes as “probably a hotel icon, not only for the city but for the whole of Poland”. Also in the pipeline is a new Holiday Inn in Krakow and a Ð25 million luxury lifestyle hotel in the city’s centre.


“The hotel sector is quite busy,” says


banks unable to borrow and lend only at extortionate interest rates. Until then, Russians were among the


most dynamic investors abroad: there is Russian development money throughout Eastern Europe. They were more adventur- ous than Western investors because they already had a long-standing relationship with governments, businesses and the private economy, and understood the Eastern European market better. “Western investors still needed another


ten years to get the Cold War out of their head,” says PWC partner Nicolas Mayer. But investment has not ground to a halt.


“We are seeing hotel activity in Moscow, St Petersburg and in the far east of Russia, and in some regional cities as well,” says Rezidor’s Jenkins. “People do have some cash available and see that now is the time to invest because, when the market does finally come back, it may be too late; it is time to invest ahead of the curve.”


BUYINGBUSINESSTRAVEL.COM


And in 2013, IHG announced an agree- ment for the development of a number of Holiday Inn Express hotels in Russia, to be completed by 2019. It has already opened Holiday Inn Express Voronezh Kirova and Hotel Indigo St Petersburg Tchaikovskogo, introducing both brands to the country. Although average rates are “still fragile”, with both cities experiencing drops over the last year (HVI), Russia will be hosting the 2018 FIFA World Cup and is investing an estimated US$10 billion to develop infrastructure, which will attract business. However, the picture is not rosy. “Russia is going through recession and, with sanc- tions and the falling price of oil, there is an unfortunate set of circumstances,” says HVS’s Perret. “Also, the country’s long- term prospects are difficult to assess: what happens post-Putin, who comes next and what is this person going to do? The country has become very nationalistic and that doesn’t make investors feel comfortable either.”


Wircer. “Marriott-Starwood, IHG, Hilton and Accor all have development people or offices in Poland and are working very aggressively to get contracts. Poland is ap- pealing because Russia isn’t any more – it’s very simple; and because only 25 per cent of hotel rooms are branded, there is great potential for branded hotels to come into the market.” In addition, a Marriott Courtyard is under construction in the business district of Warsaw and a Holiday Inn is due to open in 2018. “After that, development would probably be in secondary destina- tions such as Gdansk, Poznan, Szczecin, Krakow and Wroclaw,” says Wircer. “Krakow is very attractive to investors. It is the most visited city in Poland and tourism is very strong.”


AND FARTHER AFIELD...


Choice Hotels is also looking to expand its mid-market hotel offering into primary and secondary cities in Poland as well as into Balkan capital cities. “As a pure franchisor,


BBT JULY/AUGUST 2016 83


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