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Campaign ’12


Business Executive Herman Cain


Rationale for running: “The American dream is under attack” from runaway debt, a stagnant economy, and a Democratic administration


forcing a legislative agenda citizens don’t want.


4 chads


Emotional connection: Almost no one does it better.


4 chads


Resonance/relevancy of message: A colossus of conservatism, he understands real life.


3 chads


Message discipline: On point, enumerated answers. He speaks plainly, without censoring his thoughts, which endears him to his followers but enfl ames detractors.


3 chads


Candidate preparation: Leaves audiences wanting more. Still needs depth and immersion on the issues.


2 chads


Life experience: True breadth of experience.


3 chads


Political/government experience: Limited to work as chairman of the Kansas City Fed.


2 chads


Fundraising strength: $2.4 million in second quarter. Grass roots, but limited in a non-traditional campaign.


1 chad


Base: Growing in intensity, but will it grow in size fast enough?


2 chads


General election appeal: As a self- identifi ed American black conservative with a Reagan-like message, lots of crossover potential.


3 chads Cain Total: 27 of 40 chads 34 NEWSMAX / SEPTEMBER 2011 Rep. Ron Paul


Rationale for running: In his third bid for the presidency, he is again the champion of a “limited, constitutional government, low


taxes, free markets, and a return to sound monetary policies.”


4 chads


Emotional connection: His followers are fervent; others are bemused.


2 chads


Resonance/relevancy of message: The rest of the country “may be catching up to his thinking on the economy.” But not all of his positions resonate with a conservative base.


2 chads


Message discipline: Fine when on topic, but lacks message discipline.


2 chads


Candidate preparation: No candidate can match his economic knowledge.


3 chads


Life experience: U.S. Air Force fl ight surgeon, OB-GYN in private practice.


4 chads


Political/government experience: Has served more than 20 years in the U.S. House, the longest public service record of the fi eld.


3 chads


Fundraising strength: $4.5 million in second quarter. He’s the money bomb: $1 million in one day, online.


3 chads


Base: Will fi nd traction in New Hampshire. Devoted and very vocal libertarian base belies its limited size. But a master of the caucus process.


1 chad


General election appeal: Limited. His medicine is too strong to attract crossover support.


1 chad Paul Total: 25 of 40 chads


Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich


Rationale for running: He has the experience “to return America to hope and opportunity, to full employment, to real security,


to an American energy program, to a balanced budget.”


4 chads


Emotional connection: Moments of brilliance, but other times reduced to just being professorial.


2 chads


Resonance/relevancy of message: Depth of knowledge unmatched, but does he have solutions for tomorrow, not yesterday?


2 chads


Message discipline: Staying focused is an issue.


1 chad


Candidate preparation: Given his experience, he should be the master.


3 chads


Life experience: Can be used against him.


1 chad


Political/government experience: Deepest of the fi eld. He has made miracles happen before.


3 chads


Fundraising strength: Organization has been dealt blows. Raised $2.1 million fi rst quarter, but campaign is reportedly in debt.


1 chad


Base: He is competing in a crowd — against Mitt Romney for the establishment vote and Michele Bachmann for the tea party vote.


1 chad


General election appeal: Limited. 1 chad


Gingrich Total: 19 of 40 chads


CAIN/STEVE POPE/GETTY IMAGES / PAUL/AP IMAGES / GINGRICH/ALEX WONG/GETTY IMAGES


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