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AFRICA ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK 3 • Authors’ Guide
socioeconomic, health and well-being impacts on people. Institutions, structures and processes can also transform access to resources and the way people pursue livelihoods. Responses include changes in strategies for exploiting the environment (some of which can be considered opportunities), or perhaps policy responses at a higher level. A livelihood can be considered sustainable when it can cope with and recover from these factors, both now and in the future.
This framework may be useful, for example, in examining the way that policies, laws or culture can impact on livelihood strategies, outcomes and ultimately the wellbeing of the people. As the AEO-3 is focusing on the relationship between environment and health, it is recommended that sustainable livelihood concepts be included in the analysis.
Gender and environment-health issues: Gender refers to social (not biological)
differences between men and
women that are learned, changeable, and vary between and within cultures. Gender affects the way people experience environmental change, their vulnerability to health impacts their capabilities in seizing opportunities for improved livelihoods via sustainable use of natural resources and enforcement of both environmental and public health policies and laws. It is important to understand the different
roles imposed by gender on the management of environment and public health. This will help policy makers to understand how existing and intended policies in the environment, health or related sectors such as agriculture and energy will impact on the livelihoods of both men and women. Gender analysis should, therefore, be integrated into indicator preparation and analysis wherever possible. Policy recommendations and conclusions should also be drawn with respect to possible impacts on different gender groups in society.
Scenarios: These provide structured accounts (coherent stories told in words and numbers) of a range of possible pathways that can be taken, but they are not predictions. They incorporate socio-economic as well as biophysical dimensions, qualitative as well as quantitative approaches, and may use conventional or non-orthodox views of the way the world functions. Descriptive written narratives (known as qualitative scenarios, can describe trends or relationships in cases where there are few or no numerical data. They are also useful for incorporating shocks or discontinuities.
There are a number of models and tools used to come up with quantitative scenarios, which provide greater rigour, precision and consistency. However, reliable numerical data are needed.
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