TRAFFIC STATS ACI forecast
ACI’s latest short-term forecast projects a 6.2% increase in passenger traffi c for the period covering January to May of 2011.
Continued robust growth in emerging markets and economic rebounds in North America and Europe will drive passenger traffi c demand in the coming months. Year-on-year growth will peak at 8.3% in April, benefi ting from the European market’s recovery from the impact of the volcanic eruption in Iceland in April 2010.
Strong growth forecasted through May 2011
%
Estimates Africa
Asia/Pacifi c Europe
Middle East
North America World
Short-term forecast by region: January – May 2011 Forecasts
January February
9.4% 3.5% 9.1% 8.5% 6.9%
5.2%
Latin America & Caribbean 9.2% 8.1% 6.5% 8.2% 1.9% 3.4% 6.2%
March
5.9% 6.0% 7.7% 7.4%
April May 4.3% 7.2%
6.4% 5.0% 3.8%
YTD
5.8% 8.0%
5.8%
5.1% 15.3% 4.9% 7.3% 7.9% 7.3% 8.1% 5.2% 4.0% 3.9% 5.7%
8.3% 5.2%
7.8% 6.6% 3.4% 6.2%
A forecast prepared by TFAS (Traffic Forecast Advisory Services) A partnership between ACI and DKMA, TFAS offers world-class traffi c forecasting services. We provide airport specifi c traffi c forecasts for the purpose of infrastructure development, investments and business planning. Current projects include a comprehensive study covering annual travel demand and airport peak profi les for the three main South African airports, a traffi c forecast of a mid-sized European airport for Hochtief and a study to improve air services for New Caledonia. For more information: P: +41 22 354 07 54 E:
info@dkma.com I:
www.aci-forecast.aero
ACI’s short-term forecasts are based on the latest data from airports. The forecast is refi ned using future airline schedules and assumptions on load factors in order to provide an accurate picture of the development of passenger traffi c over the next fi ve months.
78 AIRPORT WORLD/FEBRUARY-MARCH 2011
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