Compound feed production for farmed animals in the EU-28 in 2018 reached an estimated level of 161,500,000 tonnes, 0.8% more than in 2017, according to data provided by FEFAC members. In regards to cattle feed, 2018 was affected more than usual


FEFAC Compound Feed Production Estimates for 2018 at a rather high level over the last 3 years, boosted by the withdrawal


by weather conditions, particularly with the exceptional drought and heat wave during late spring/summer in North-Western Europe which severely impacted forage production. This has resulted in a significant increase in the demand for compound feed. Farmers in certain countries have brought forward sending cows to slaughter, which not only lowered milk production but also feed demand. All in all, the demand for cattle feed in 2018 is estimated 2.5% higher than in 2017. Concerning poultry feed production, overall production increased


by 1%, mostly driven by the development of poultry production in Poland with a growth of more than 5% for the fourth year in a row and recovery of the French poultry sector after last year’s drop pursuant to AI outbreak. The positive trend in poultry exports and sharp reduction of imports from Brazil especially also contributed to support the strong momentum in the EU poultry sector and, therefore, an increased demand for commercial feed. EU poultry feed production remains the leading segment in EU compound feed production, well ahead of pig feed. On the pig feed side, the setback recorded in 2016 and 2017 was


confirmed in 2018 (-1%), despite an increase in pork production: the drop in pork prices in the second half of 2018 led to a sharp reduction in sows in a number of countries. In addition, the good cereal harvest on the Iberian Peninsula favoured on farm use.


(million tonnes) Cattle feed Pig feed


Poultry feed Total


2017 45


51.5 55


160


2018 46 51


55.5 161.5


% Change +2 -1


+1 +0.8 For the fifth year in a row, Poland was the fastest growing


producing country, with annual growth of total compound feed production of +5.5%, boosted equally by the demand for poultry, pig and dairy feed. Among the largest compound feed producing countries, France and Italy maintained their production levels, whereas Spain, the Netherlands and Germany recorded a drop around -1%/-1.5% and UK increased its production by almost 4%. Germany strengthened its position as the leading EU country in terms of total compound feed production, ahead of Spain and France. The final estimate and detailed breakdown of the 2018 figures


(including national estimates) will be issued in June 2019 at the FEFAC Annual General Meeting.


FEFAC Market Outlook for 2019 FEFAC market experts are rather pessimistic concerning compound feed production in 2019. Although an increase may still be expected during the first months of 2019, the demand for cattle feed has been


game 11.indd 1


Game Engineering is a designer, manufacturer and installer of process systems for the animal feeds, grain and food industries. We also modify existing systems to provide greater performance and handle servicing and maintenance programmes.


GAME Engineering Ltd Camp Road


Witham St Hughs Business Park Witham St Hughs, Lincoln LN6 9TW


Telephone: +44 (0)1522 868 021


Email: aconroy@game-engineering.com www. game-engineering.com


FEED COMPOUNDER MARCH/APRIL 2019 PAGE 3312/12/2017 16:34:14


of dairy quotas that triggered a higher demand for efficient commercial feed, although limited by restrictions on phosphorous emissions. Assuming normal forage growing conditions, the demand for cattle feed is predicted to decrease by 2%. Concerning the pig sector, the reduction in the number of sows is set to continue in the first half of 2019, with the additional pressure of welfare standards in certain countries. This is expected to weigh on the demand for pig feed and a reduction of the demand for compound feed of 0.5% can be anticipated. The future evolution of the demand for poultry feed in 2019 will be mostly conditioned by international trade and in particular the capacity of Brazil to recover its leading position on the global market. In the case that the EU can maintain its export levels as well as rely on a still growing internal consumption, a 1% growth in poultry feed can be expected. Overall, this would lead to a moderate 0.5% decrease in compound feed production in 2019 vs. 2018. A number of parameters will evidently affect this outlook: the


evolution of outbreaks of Avian Influenza and African Swine Fever will be decisive, in particular in terms of preserving EU export capacities. The possible impact of Brexit is difficult to foresee but a no-deal Brexit is likely to deeply affect trade in livestock products and, therefore, feed demand.


Page 1  |  Page 2  |  Page 3  |  Page 4  |  Page 5  |  Page 6  |  Page 7  |  Page 8  |  Page 9  |  Page 10  |  Page 11  |  Page 12  |  Page 13  |  Page 14  |  Page 15  |  Page 16  |  Page 17  |  Page 18  |  Page 19  |  Page 20  |  Page 21  |  Page 22  |  Page 23  |  Page 24  |  Page 25  |  Page 26  |  Page 27  |  Page 28  |  Page 29  |  Page 30  |  Page 31  |  Page 32  |  Page 33  |  Page 34  |  Page 35  |  Page 36  |  Page 37  |  Page 38  |  Page 39  |  Page 40  |  Page 41  |  Page 42  |  Page 43  |  Page 44  |  Page 45  |  Page 46  |  Page 47  |  Page 48  |  Page 49  |  Page 50  |  Page 51  |  Page 52  |  Page 53  |  Page 54  |  Page 55  |  Page 56  |  Page 57  |  Page 58  |  Page 59  |  Page 60