| Insight
Classify hazards informing the development and application of a plausible risk assessment approach across species, habitats and river basin scales. Identify potential issues of concern that warrant further assessment beyond the timescales of this project.
The report’s key findings found that around 83,000 hectares of land, an area the size of Kyiv, was flooded downstream of the dam. The discharge of water was 30,000 m3/sec immediately after the breach, compared to a daily average of 2,600m3/sec. As the Kakhovka Reservoir was almost completely emptied, thousands of fish were washed out or stranded. This included an estimated 28,000 crucian carp, totalling 95,000 tonnes with an estimated commercial value of US $108 million. Such flooding in June was also highly likely to have disrupted the life cycles of many freshwater and terrestrial species, including the Dnipro sturgeon and the downstream hatcheries established to support its conservation, as well as other migratory aquatic species. For terrestrial species, direct loss or damage of nests and offspring will have occurred, affecting birds nesting on the ground, (eg little gull, little bustard) or in emergent vegetation. These breeds in the affected area are European Red-listed species, classified as “near threatened” or “vulnerable”. There were more than 1000 potential sources of pollution from flooded sites, including wastewater treatment works, petrol stations, landfills and industrial sites. Historical pollutants contained within reservoir bed sediments – potentially including mine waste and radioactive substances – along with sediment containing pollutants from the sources above would have been dispersed across the aforementioned habitats and into the coastal ecosystems of the Black Sea Biosphere Reserve. This reserve is home to bottlenose dolphin, harbour porpoise, Pontic or Black Sea shad, otters, the Stepp polecat, and the critically endangered slender-billed curlew, numbers of which globally are thought to be less than 50 individuals. The Dnipro delta is also important as a staging post for migratory and breeding birds including the near threatened, red-breasted goose. As UKCEH and HR Wallingford acknowledge, the impacts of the dam breach on many of these species is difficult to determine without on-the-ground surveillance. Emma Brown, Technical Director at HR Wallingford, added: “I am very proud of the work we’ve done
with UKCEH to assess the environmental impacts of the Kakhovka Dam breach. Combining our expertise in dam breach modelling, hydrology and earth observation with UKCEH’s expert biodiversity knowledge enabled the team to produce a detailed report in just 16 days, which I hope will be instrumental in helping with recovery efforts in the region.” The report, which informed a wider report by the UN Environment Programme, also identified potential long-term effects on the environment, human health and economies. It said the flooding would have worsened water infrastructure and quality, affecting drinking water supply and irrigation for agriculture. The authors made several recommendations for
future action including an assessment of the sources of radioactive and munitions waste, and their movement down the Dnipro River to the Black Sea. This would support clean-up efforts, reduce the risks to human health associated with eating contaminated fish, shellfish and crops and safeguard a key global grain shipping route if there are unexploded arms in the area. “This significant work undertaken in a timely way using cutting-edge technologies highlights the
Above: Lake Kakhovka modelled maximum flood depth
Below left: Aerial view of flooding in the city of Kherson following the breach of Kakhovka Dam during the Russian-Ukrainian war
Below: The dried up Kakhovka Reservoir due to breaching of Kakhovka Dam on 6 June 2023
www.waterpowermagazine.com | Yearbook 2024 | 5
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