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Flooding in Kathmandu, Nepal, in September 2024
COP30 fails to agree a host of climate targets
Analysis: Brazil forum settles for range of vague commitments. Ian Taylor reports
The failure to agree binding targets on reducing fossil fuel use and increasing funding for adaptation to warming at the COP30 climate conference in Brazil was no surprise. But it means no long-term let-up
in the increasing climate extremes in destinations and disruption, deadly consequences and costs of heatwaves, wildfires, floods and droughts. COP30 ended at the weekend with
a voluntary agreement to curb fossil fuel use, an aspiration to treble funding available for adaptation in developing countries and vague commitments
48 27 NOVEMBER 2025
to “strengthen” climate targets. However, the 2035 date for
trebling adaptation finance was five years later than initially proposed and the ‘agreement’ provides no baseline year for comparison. This latest target comes after
COP26 in Glasgow in 2021 agreed adaptation funding of $40 billion a year by 2025. Yet a recent UN Environment Programme report revealed developed nations provided $26 billion in adaptation finance in 2023, down from $28 billion in 2022. It estimates the adaptation
costs required at $310 billion a year between now and 2035. The COP30 outcome aims to
keep “within reach” the 2015 Paris agreement to limit warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels. But the final summit statement noted the “carbon budget” for this is “being rapidly depleted” and the limit will likely be “overshot”. The statement did not even mention fossil fuels directly – in
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