MISSILE LAUNCH Iran’s Revolutionary Guards test a Shahab-3 missile in the Kavir Desert in 2012.
estimate is based only on Iran’s known capabilities — not on what Iran may be capable of doing, or may already have done in secret facilities. Iran has underground facilities suspected of being used for nuclear weapons development to which the IAEA has repeatedly been denied access. Nonetheless, IAEA
has discovered Iran has experimented with implosion technology, necessary for making more sophisticated nuclear weapons. IAEA also discovered plans for a nuclear warhead that could fit on Iran’s missiles. We know from our own
the defection of Israeli nuclear scientist Mordechai Vanunu and other sources, developed a sophisticated array of nuclear weapons, including missile warheads, without testing.
without first having nuclear warheads to make the missile militarily useful. Historically, every other nuclear missile state has always developed nuclear weapons first, before long-range missiles. The fact of Iran’s
ICBM capability and their proximity to nuclear weapons necessitates that Iran be regarded as a nuclear missile state — and as a menace to the entire world — right now. Congress and
LEG UP ON TECHNOLOGY Iran’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad inspects a satellite launching vehicle.
weapon within six months. The IAEA nuclear watchdog has repeated this warning every year since.
On Jan. 20, 2014, former
IAEA Deputy Director General Olli Heinonen warned that Iran could build a nuclear weapon in 2-3 weeks. He also acknowledged that this
experience that developing a re-entry vehicle (RV) for a nuclear missile warhead is not all that dif icult. The U.S., working from scratch and using the technology of over 50 years ago, in 1955, developed its first RV for the Thor, Jupiter, and Atlas missiles in just a few years. Nor is it necessary for Iran
to test a nuclear weapon in order to develop a missile warhead. Israel, we know from
South Africa too, before dismantling its nuclear arsenal, deployed nuclear weapons and designed a missile nuclear warhead without testing. However, Iran and North
Korea are strategic allies. Iranian scientists reportedly have participated in North Korea’s nuclear tests. If Iran does not yet have
nuclear weapons, it will be the first nation to go through the great trouble and expense of developing an ICBM capability
the President should give high priority to passage of the Critical Infrastructure
Protection Act and the SHIELD Act, which will protect the national electric grid and other critical infrastructures from EMP attack.
Holes in the National Missile
Defense need to be patched, and the U.S. nuclear deterrent modernized. Regime change ousting
Iran’s oppressive mullahs through popular revolution should be encouraged. And the CIA used to be good at this.
Iranian Sub Plans Could Revive Nuclear Cold War Threat
BY DAVID A. PATTEN he greatest danger the Soviet Union presented during the Cold War came not from tanks, ICBMs, or bombers — but rather
from stealthy killers lurking just off the U.S. coast. As any Tom Clancy fan knows, the United States and the Soviet Union conducted an elaborate game of submarine warfare in the ocean depths, where even the smallest miscalculation could trigger nuclear Armageddon. Well aware of submarines’ ability to
control shipping lanes, Iran maintains several Russian Kilo class diesel subs,
and produces submarines domestically as well. Those vessels are not considered a deep-water threat, but Iran is playing the nuclear-submarine card nevertheless. In June 2012, Iranian leaders
announced plans to build a nuclear- powered submarine. Deputy navy commander Abbas Zamini told Iran’s Fars News Agency: “Preliminary steps in making an atomic submarine have started and we hope to see the use of . . . nuclear submarines in the navy in the future.” Few analysts believe the Iranians have the technology to build
a nuclear-powered sub, which involves fitting a nuclear reactor into a metal hull about 35-feet wide. But they take the threat seriously because a loophole in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty exempts reactors from the ordinary IAEA safeguards and inspections. Nuclear-powered vessels use
90-percent enriched uranium, about the same concentration as nuclear warheads. So by claiming that it intends to build a nuclear submarine, Iran can inch closer to becoming a nuclear power — perhaps without violating international law.
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