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Towards a green economy


Energy source


Power generation technology Production cost of electricity (COE)


State-of- the-art 2007


Open cycle gas turbine (GT)


Natural gas


Oil


Combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT)


Internal combustion diesel engine


Combined cycle oil-fired turbine


Pulverised coal combustion (PCC)


Coal


Circulating fluidised bed combustion (CFBC)


Integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC)


Nuclear


Bio- mass


Wind Hydro Solar


Nuclear fission Solid biomass Biogas


On-shore farm Off-shore farms Large Small


Photovoltaic Concentrating solar power


- -


CCS -


- -


CSS - -


CSS - - - - - - - - -


€ 2005/MWH 65-75b


50-60 n/a


100-125b 95-105b


40-50 n/a


45-55 45-55


n/a 50-85


80-195 55-215 75-110 85-140 35-145 60-185 520-850 170-250d


Projection for 2020 € 2005/MWH


90-95b 65-75 85-95


140-165b 125-135b 65-80


80-105 75-85 70-80


75-90 45-80


85-200 50-200 55-90


65-115 30-140 55-160 270-460 110-160d


Projection for 2030 € 2005/MWH


90-100b 70-80 80-90


140-160b 125-135b 65-80


75-100 75-85 70-80


65-85 45-80


85-205 50-190 50-85 50-95


30-130 50-145 170-300 100-140d


efficiency 2007


38% 58% 49%c


45%


53% 47%


35%c


40% 45%


35%c 35%


24%-29% 31%-34% - - - - - -


Net


emissions Kg CO2


/MWh


530 350 60


595


505 725


145 850 755


145 0 6 5 0 0 0 0 0


120d


Direct (stack)


Life cycle GHG emissions Kg CO2


Indirect emissions eq/MWh


110 70 85


95


80 95


125 110 100


125 15


15-36 1-240 11 14 6 6


45 15


Table 6: Energy technologies for power generation in the EU – moderate fuel price scenario Source: European Commission (2008)


Kg CO2


Life cycle emissions eq/MWh


640 420 145


690


585 820


270 960 855


270 15


21-42 6-245 11 14 6 6


45 135d


Fuel price sensitivity


Very high Very high Very high


Very high


Very high Medium


Medium Medium Medium


Medium Low


Medium Medium


Nil Nil Nil Low


a. Assuming fuel prices as in “European Energy and Transport: Trends to 2030 – Update 2007” (barrel of oil US$ 54.5 (US$-2005) in 2007 and US$ 63 (US$-2005) in 2030). b. Calculated assuming base load operation. c. Reported efficiencies for carbon capture plants refer to first-of-a-kind demonstration installations that start operating in 2015. d. Assuming the use of natural gas for backup heat production.


full range of externalities from carbon emissions such as air pollution-related health hazards were included in carbon pricing, the relative position of renewable energy would be strengthened considerably. Minimum standards on fossil-fuel plants, which would raise the production costs of fossil fuels, could also increase the competitiveness of renewable energy.


The competitive position of renewable energy would be strengthened if subsidies for fossil fuels were also phased out. In many developing countries, government support to the energy sector is used to decrease the price of energy consumption to below market levels in the belief that this will reduce poverty and spur economic growth. Economically, the most efficient approach to making renewable energy attractive for large-scale market penetration is to remove all subsidies on fossil fuel and impose a price on carbon (for example through fossil-fuel taxes), and then to use the proceeds to subsidise renewable energy for a set duration and to


216


provide targeted subsidies to poor households. Phasing out fossil-fuel subsidies is difficult because doing so has impacts throughout the economy and affects those with vested interests. Any politically-viable reform would thus have to be well planned and probably phased in gradually.


Using a price-gap methodology, IEA estimated that fossil-fuel-related consumption subsidies amounted to US$ 342 billion in 2007 (IEA 2010d), US$ 557 billion in 2008 (IEA, OPEC, OECD and World Bank 2010), when fossil-fuel prices rose to particularly high levels, and US$ 312 billion in 2009 (IEA 2010d). Subsidies for producers of fossil fuels are estimated to be in the order of US$ 100 billion per year (GSI 2009). This support, totalling approximately US$ 500-700 billion per year, for conventional energy (mostly fossil fuels) creates an uneven playing field for the adoption of renewable energy. By comparison, the IEA (2010d) estimated government support for electricity from renewables and


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