TRAFFIC DATA Traffic trends Growth rate %


ACI’s latest short-term forecast projects a 4.7% increase in passenger traffic for the period covering


January–October of 2010. Preliminary figures indicate that following a contraction due to disruptions caused by the Icelandic volcanic eruption in April, global passenger traffic will grow steadily until October 2010. This steady growth reflects the continuing world economic recovery as indicated by the IMF’s recent upward revision of its global economic


outlook for 2010 (4.5% increase) despite renewed tensions in the financial markets. In this context, emerging countries (mainly China, India and Brazil) will continue to be the main drivers of passenger growth whereas the pace of recovery in the more mature European and North American markets will remain slower.


Global passenger traffic to grow steadily through October


2009


2010


Short-term forecast by region: August–October 2010 Estimates


Forecasts June Africa


Asia-Pacific Europe


Lat. America/Caribbean Middle East


North America World


7.5%


10.6% 2.5%


12.7% 11.9% 1.8% 5.0%


July 5.9%


10.1% 2.2% 9.2% 8.6% 1.4% 4.4%


August 5.7% 9.2% 2.3% 8.8% 7.7% 1.7% 4.4%


September 6.4% 8.9% 2.0% 6.5% 5.9% 1.6% 4.1%


October 5.8% 8.8% 1.0% 4.9% 5.7% 2.0% 3.9%


YTD 7.5%


10.8% 1.5%


10.0% 11.6% 1.3% 4.7%


A forecast prepared by TFAS (Traffic Forecast Advisory Services)


A partnership between ACI and DKMA, TFAS offers world-class traffic forecasting services. It provides airport specific traffic forecasts for the purpose of infrastructure development, investments and business planning. Contact forecasting@dkma.com for further information.


ACI’s short-term forecasts are based on the latest data from airports. The forecast is refined using future airline schedules and assumptions on load factors in order to provide an accurate picture of the development of passenger traffic over the next three months.


AW AIRPORT WORLD/AUGUST-SEPTEMBER 2010 85


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