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The carbon-neutral future is electric
Global electrification will be more than 50% of total energy demand – up from 20% today. And certain regions of the world will go far beyond this level of electrification?
Electricity has improved our standards of living since its invention more than two hundred years ago. But the changes that deepen electrification in the name of sustainability will bring over the coming 30 years will go beyond anything that we’ve seen so far. Global electrification will be more than 50 percent of total energy demand – up from 20 percent (today). And certain regions of the world will go far beyond this level of electrification.
Electricity will be the backbone of the entire energy system
Three building blocks are stacking up to deliver this carbon-neutral electric future: connecting larger volumes of wind, solar and hydro to the grids; electrifying the world’s transportation, building and industrial sectors; and, where direct electrification is either not efficient or impossible, introducing complementary and sustainable energy carriers, such as green hydrogen. Combined, these blocks will give us the foundation upon which electricity will become the backbone of the entire energy system and on which sustainable societies can progress. The most efficient, cleanest and cost-effective way to electrify the world is to build renewable energy capacity and to harness energy from wind, sunshine and water that nature provides. As a result, we estimate that global renewable energy capacity will grow by at least a factor of ten until 2050.
Challenges: overcoming complexity and expanding the world’s grids
Electrification, powered by this huge growth in variable renewable power generation, brings a host of new challenges – but two stand out most to me: tackling the complexity arising from
a greater number of widely distributed and less predictable power generation sites, and the need to significantly upgrade and expand grid capacity to accommodate the rapid growth in demand.
In order to manage fluctuating electricity production and new consumption patterns, our energy system needs to become more flexible and new tools are required to deliver this. Innovative grid components using power electronics will provide the operational flexibility needed to enable grids to become more efficient. Sensors will provide the necessary information and digital solutions will process the huge amount of information in intelligent grid control centers. This will enable faster decision-making in a much more dynamic environment than we have ever seen in the past.
The second challenge, expanding grid capacity, can be tackled in two ways: optimizing the utilization of current networks and upgrading and extending power systems. Here, we can rely on clever combinations of power electronics and digital technologies to optimize copper and iron efficiencies on existing power grids. A recent example of power system improvement together with renewable integration can be seen in Scotland, where a new HVDC link is being added to connect the Shetland Islands to the UK transmission system.
The link will enhance security of power supply and help to transmit wind power generated on the islands, contributing to the UK’s decarbonisation target of bringing all greenhouse gas emissions to net zero in the future. Grid capacity will need to cope with more than twice the electrical energy of today. This includes the expansion of high-voltage networks and interconnections linking renewable energy generated in remote places, such as wind farms located kilometers offshore, to the grid. From a demand-side perspective, much more electrification will also be required in areas that have so far been low load regions – away
Above: Gerhard Salge Chief Technology Officer, Hitachi Energy
from densely populated cities where demand is already high. For example, through electrification it will become easier to locate a growing number of data centers in secluded areas. And we can expect to see more industrial sites (e.g. steel plants and mining operations) turn to electrification to convert away from carbon- intensive processes whilst increasing efficiency. Over the next thirty years, we are likely to see power systems also growing into geographical areas that, up to now, have rarely been taken into account in grid expansion planning.
Flexibility and the role of storage
The journey towards a carbon-neutral energy system is dependent upon extremely flexible power systems. They will need to cope with increased complexity, brought about by the need to integrate bulk and distributed variable power generated from renewable sources. Whenever grid flexibility is required, the first and most proven technical solution is grid expansion and interconnection. Once this
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