Appendix Chart 1: US & China: Percent of Population, Over 65 Years of Age


25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%


US China 20.6% 16.0% 12.5% 5.5% 11.3% 17.0%


Source: US Bureau of Census, International Database (Chart created by CME Group Economics Team) 1990 2018


Chart 2: Cumulative Growth of Working Age Population: 1990-2018 versus 2018-2030


35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10%


1990 to 2018 2018 to 2030


2030


US Source: US Census Bureau (Chart created by CME Group Economics Team)


Chart 3: US Average Annual Real GDP Growth by Decades (includes recessions)


5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0%


4.27% 4.28% 3.25% 3.09% 3.32% 1.77% 2.24% 2.45%


China


1950s


1960s


1970s


1980s


1990s


2000s


Source: Federal Bank FRED Database (GDPC1), CME Economics extimates fo 2019-2030. (Chart created by CME Group Economics Team, Data source: St. Louis )


Chart 4: China Real GDP by Decade


12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%


10.45% 10.49% 9.35% 7.36% 6.28% Estimates 6.93% 3.80%


2010s


2020s


1960s


1970s


1980s


1990s 31 | ADMISI - The Ghost In The Machine | January/February 2019


2000s


2010s Source: World Bank Data through the Bloomberg Professional, CME Economics Estimates from 2019-2030.


2020s


Average Annual Real GDP Growth


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