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4-6 Andy Ash


A Rocky Path to Nowhere The equity market has had a jolly good rally since the wobble in December. In Fibonacci terms, as of at the time of writing, the S&P is just a gnats breath above its 50% retracement, which is where all of the Fibonacci family would ask if enough was enough.


8-9 Steve Freed The Partial U.S. Government Shutdown Increased Market


Uncertainty On January 25 the U.S. government announced a stopgap temporary bill that will leave the government open for three weeks, through February 15. Grain futures tend to feed on USDA data, which they have not been getting.


10-11 Howard Jenkins Will The Sun Shine For Sugar?


agri-food sector Elsewhere in this edition, Lauren Judd considers what trading under WTO rules implies, specifically in terms of what tariffs exist and how they might be applied. This brief article looks at some other aspects, above all some statistics on the agriculture and food sector in the UK, and then non-tariff considerations.


22-23


Alan Bush Stock Index and Industrial Commodity


20-21 Marc Ostwald Brexit: a brief look at the


32


Meghan Sapp


Ringing in the New Year A new year brings along with it fresh hope for a better future, full of resolutions and energy to effect change. January often starts with the best of intentions but by the end of the month business-as-usual has set back in and much of those hopes and dreams have succumbed to the reality of “what is”.


33 Kevin Rodgers Fat finger forex


Futures Rebound After a dismal performance in December stock index and some industrial commodity futures markets have put in a stellar performance in January in spite of a variety of negative economic news and the ongoing U.S.- China trade rift.


Hindsight is 20/20’ is a saying used when something is rather more obvious on reflection than from the outset.


12-13 Lauren Judd


24-27 Valentina Keys Commissioning a scrubber system by 31 December 2019 is not sufficient to comply with the upcoming


Simply what does the WTO


really mean for us? The New Year has brought increased uncertainty with regards to Brexit. The phrases ‘no deal’ and ‘WTO rules’ continue to be thrown around in both the political sphere and the UK media.


14-15 Eddie Tofpik


(New! USD/JPY edition) A couple of weeks years ago I gave a talk about my book “Why Aren’t They Shouting?” in front of a group of Belgian businessman at the Belgian embassy.


34


About ADMISI 35


The Ghost In The Machine Library


sulphur cap Ship owners, ship operators and ship managers who are busy preparing for the upcoming high sulphur fuel oil (“HSFO”) ban which enters into force on 1 January 2020 will be familiar with the option to install Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems (EGCSs) otherwise known as “scrubbers” as one route to compliance.


Eddie Strange love... Or: How I Realised Life Was Too Short To Follow Fundamentals.


16-19 Rohan Ziegelaar Physical Commodity Contracts: Hard Lessons for


Softs Markets? Commodity derivative markets have a lot in common across the agricultural, energy, and metals spaces.


28-31 Blu Putnam Erik Norland US-China Growth Prospects and Market


Dynamics The two largest economies in the world – the United States and China – are seeing economic growth decelerate, both have loaded up with debt, and are engaged in a high-stakes trade war with each other. How each country fares will have a lot to say about the dynamics and evolution of a variety of key markets in 2019.


3 | ADMISI - The Ghost In The Machine | January/February 2019


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