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TECHNOLOGY


providers did maintain high levels of activity for cancer treatment and therefore cancer is not necessarily part of the problem, here. Many of the P2 and P3 patients may have underlying cancers that impact services further down the line.


What next? So, what is the answer? More money? More staff? Longer hours of services availability? Increased use of the private sector? Well, that’s already factored in. The UK Government has promised £6 billion of extra funding and the London region has begun planning more activity for private providers. But £6 billion will not go far when spread across all providers and over 24/7 capacity and outside of the London region. The private hospital sector is based on small surgical hospitals, mostly staffed by people who work in both the private sector and the NHS – so it’s not spare capacity.


More beds?


Is the answer more NHS beds? More modular buildings in hospital car parks? Pop-up operating theatres? CT Scans-in- Vans? Maybe not. The opportunities and funding resources to fund more capacity in the NHS are, as usual, constrained. Firstly, there will be little extra capital funding available outside of the 40+ New Hospital Build programme announced in the Conservative Manifesto in 2019. As we all know, this will be less ‘new build’ and more likely ‘refurbishment’. Secondly, even if we could build additional bed capacity, how would we staff those beds? As the King’s Fund points out, there are currently 100,000 open vacancies and 1 in 11 posts unfilled in the UK. There is little in the way of short-term spare workforce capacity and the long-term tactics to boost overseas recruitment and manage the perennial issue of staff retention


are largely focused on maintaining the healthcare workforce. The challenges do not end there. For instance, how do you reset and


restart services in a hospital sector that has been working flat out for over a year managing the pandemic? Plus, how do you do this when a significant part of your workforce is traumatised after facing two waves of COVID-19?


Many front line nursing and medical staff needed to care for patients in the P2 and P3 Cohort are mentally exhausted and accessing occupational mental health support in high numbers.


Peak Transformation


As we have established, there are huge backlogs and only finite capacity. However, over the years there has been plenty of focus on managing demand and capacity. NHS, NHSE and NHSI have had numerous programmes aimed at understanding demand and making the most of every minute of capacity, exploring approaches to release time to care; driving down wasted


time and inefficiency; reducing variation in pathways; and to generally improve all aspects of productivity. These programmes include NHSE Capacity and Demand Tools kits, Releasing Time to Care (The NHS Productive series), Getting It Right First Time (GIRFT), LEAN and many more local and national initiatives. In addition, there has been exploration of improvement approaches from outside of healthcare – such as ‘Marginal Gains’ from the world of elite sport. The Team GB cycling coach, Dave Brailsford, captured the meaning of Marginal Gains in the following definition: “The whole principle came from the idea that if you broke down everything you could think of that goes into riding a bike, and then improve it by one percent, you will get a significant increase when you put them all together.” Its logic appears sound but its application to healthcare has been short-lived. What have we gained? Can we start to assume that we might have reached ‘Peak’ improvement methodology driven change? Or, in a quote attributed to Car Magnate, Henry Ford, are we in danger of “doing what we have always done and getting what we always got?” That being stasis?


Focusing on the minutes I think what will make the biggest change will be to make every minute of lost capacity matter. That can only be achieved by bringing in a new approach to operational management – operational management at scale. This involves establishing regional patient flow command and control, and – at the same time – focusing on patient flow at the provider level.


It means focusing on the minutes between a bed being empty and reoccupied again; reducing every minute lost between each outpatient clinic slot and recouping every minute lost in the operating room when a case starts late or overruns. This will only be done with a mix of technology and transformation.


76 l WWW.CLINICALSERVICESJOURNAL.COM SEPTEMBER 2021


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