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Society & Economy


As China’s industrialisation continues, its society and economy are undergoing transformations which have important environmental repercussions. Related challenges, like pollution and emissions, are shared by the EU. Comparatively analysing economic mechanisms within both territories, researchers are identifying commonalities which could encourage collective green policymaking between the EU and China


important in the context of general climate policy issues, post Kyoto. We hope our work could potentially be used to inform environmental policy negotiations.” According to the Finnish research


group’s findings, the internal development of


specific Chinese industrial sectors


could result in different levels of emissions being released.


that, if economic growth is concentrated in the electronics sector, where power consumption is comparatively light, energy use might be reduced,” says Luukkanen.


“We propose


“This has a corresponding


effect on emissions. Conversely, if expansion was more


rapid in energy-


intensive heavy industries like steel and cement production, emission rates would increase more quickly.” Such trends are often representative of


Understanding economic


catalysts for climate change in China and the EU


China’s economy grew by 7.2% during 2013 – indicative of the nation’s dynamic emergence as formidable power on the world stage. Yet, despite its undeniable material progress, many of the environmental


pitfalls that tainted


previous industrial revolutions, and continue to besmirch the EU, threaten to detract from China’s onward march. “China is a very important player, if one


considers climate change on a global scale,” argues Jyrki Luukkanen. “It’s now the world’s largest emitter of CO2


gases.


Many scientists regard climate change, caused by greenhouse gas emissions, as the greatest threat humanity will face during the next century – or perhaps even sooner.” A research director from the national


Finland Futures Research Centre at the University of Turku, Luukkanen’s work


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examines the possible outcomes of policies concerning energy, development and the environment. His current project considers EU and Chinese approaches, and specifically how economic structures influence (yet are simultaneously influenced by) climate change. Funded by the Academy of Finland throughout its two-year duration, the venture is an international collaboration between five senior academics at Turku, and their Chinese counterparts at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS). “Data gathered by our researchers in


Europe and China indicates that the economy determines the majority of energy usage and, hence, CO2


emissions.


Consequently, it can in many respects be considered the fundamental driver of climate change,” says Luukkanen. “Awareness of its functions is hence very


wider ideological shifts, argue the researchers. China’s embrace of urbanisation is a paradigm of the principle, since this impetus creates demands for new buildings and materials – thus stimulating demand for energy- intensive resources. The ‘energy mix’ used by Chinese industry is also an important


determinant of emissions,


since, although an exploiter of coal and nuclear power, the country is also a significant investor in wind power technology. Indeed, in 2013, power generated from national wind assets surpassed that provided by nuclear sources. “Solar PV energy products are also proliferating throughout China,” adds Luukkanen. The country is not only a manufacturer, but also a developer of these technologies, which could ultimately make a big difference to its future emission levels. However, the role of the Finland Futures


Research Centre is not to offer predictions,but rather to examine specific scenarios. Using techniques such as Advanced Sustainability Analysis (ASA) and Trend Impact Analysis (TIA), the group’s task is to “examine different possible developmental pathways”. To facilitate their interpretations, two types of planning models have been used, and an analysis of Chinese environmental policies has been conducted, to enhance their validity. “Communist leaders have


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