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PRIME NUMBERS
BROADBAND BOOM The number of broadband connections worldwide will reach 949 million by 2015, up from 600 million in 2011, driven in particular by burgeoning demand for Internet access in China and other fast-growing Asia-Pacific economies, according to IHS. The company predicts that the total will reach 676 million – 13% growth on-year – in 2012. Last year China alone accounted for 38% of all new broadband subscribers worldwide. The Asia-Pacific region is forecast to record a 16% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the 2010-2015 period, while CAGRs in Eastern Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa will range from 16%-33%. Europe will grow at 7% over the same period and North America at 5%. ADSL accounts for more than half of all net additions, taking a 51% share in Q2 2011, driven by demand in developing regions like China and Latin America; fibre technologies claimed 34%, cable modems 9%, and VDSL 6%.
1,000 800 600 400 200 0
Global broadband subscribers
IT spending in the Middle East, Africa and Turkey in 2012. (IDC)
VIDEO CALLING GETS REAL Fewer than 47 million consumers were using video services – includ- ing telephony, sharing and messaging – at the end of 2011, according to ABI Research. Furthermore, although that number is set to grow to 390 million in 2016, the analyst firm notes that operators are now more realistic about the revenues they can generate through video communications, once regarded as ‘the new voice’; only a small number of consumers are willing to pay a premium for video calls, the firm says.
The number of smartphones
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: IHS iSuppli Research
772 million
in use worldwide at end-2011. (Canalys)
Growth in international 4%
long-distance traffic to 438 billion minutes in 2011. (TeleGeography)
TV THEMES There will be 892 million connected TVs in homes worldwide by the end of 2016, up from 82 million at the end of 2011, according to Informa Telecoms & Media. Smart TVs will account for 43.1% of all television sales in 2016, the company predicts. 244 million set-top-boxes will be sold globally, of which 42% will be Internet-enabled. At the same date, there will be 1.8 billion non-PC, in-home devices capable of accessing the Internet, up from 341 million at the end of last year.
February 2012 www.totaltele.com
SMARTPHONES TAKE LTE LEAD IN 2015 The number of LTE subscriptions worldwide will grow to 592 million in 2016, equivalent to 7.3% of all mobile subscriptions at that date, according to Pyramid Research. The firm predicts that PC-based connections, which dominate the market at present, will continue to lead through 2014, after which date smartphones will become the biggest device segment. In 2016 Pyramid Research forecasts that there will be almost 200 million PC and hotspot LTE connections, equivalent to 33% of all LTE subscriptions and 29% of all PC mobile broadband subscriptions.
LTE subscription breakdown by device n Handset n Tablet n PC n M2M
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Pyramid Research
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19
Millions of subscribers
Subscriber breakdown