Table 5.5—Annual factor growth rates and simulated GDP growth elasticities and multipliers
GDP share in 2005/06 Baseline
Category (percent) scenario
Labor supply growth rate (percent) Agricultural family labor Unskilled labor Capital
Total GDP growth rate (percent) Agricultural GDP Cereals
Export crops Livestock
Nonagricultural GDP Manufacturing
Agroprocessing Private services
Elasticity of labor supply–GDPa growth Growth multiplier by 2015
Contribution to total GDP increase by 2015 (percent) Shocked sectorsb
Agriculture rather than shocked sector Nonagricultural sectors
Source: Ethiopian dynamic computable general equilibrium model results.
Note: GDP = gross domestic product. Blank cells = not applicable. aLabor supply–GDP elasticity is defined as percentage change in baseline total labor supply over the baseline GDP growth rate, both for 2015. bShocked sectors are those labeled as column heads in the corresponding scenarios. For example, in the “Cereals” column, shocked sectors are cereals.