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SINGAPORE HUB


Chart 5: OIF—Business Lines By Gross Premium, 2013


Casualty


and others 17%


Cargo 6%


Hull and liability 14%


Chart 6: OIF—Business Lines by Gross Premium, 2008


Casualty


and others 21%


Cargo 6%


Hull and liability 15%


risk assessment, pricing, underwriting, and reserving.


Property 63%


Property 58%


Source: Monetary Authority of Singapore. OIF=Offshore Insurance Fund.


Chart 7: Combined Ratio Of OIF Reinsurers Distribution expense (%)


250 (%)


100 150 200


50


Source: Monetary Authority of Singapore. OIF=Offshore Insurance Fund. 0


© Standard & Poor's 2014.


2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q


Source: Monetary Authority of Singapore. OIF=Offshore Insurance Fund.


Management expenses (%) Loss ratio (%)


Chart 8: Combined Ratio Of OIF Direct Insurers Distribution expense (%)


(%)


100 120 140 160 180


20 40 60 80


Source: Monetary Authority of Singapore. OIF=Offshore Insurance Fund. 0


© Standard & Poor's 2014.


2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q


As companies increasingly globalize their operations, reinsurers are finding it difficult to account for that in their natural catastrophe risk modeling. Strong regional economic growth and the corresponding growth in insurable asset values are also rapidly lifting catastrophe exposure. Outdated catastrophe models, unmodeled or insufficiently modeled risks, increasing capacity and competition, and weakening underwriting standards raise the likelihood of unexpected large losses again. Market commentators have also noted that high management and distribution costs for the offshore insurance business, because of its high numbers of expatriate staff, raise doubts about its sustainability. Regulatory statistics showed that distribution and management expense ratios for offshore insurance were about 33% of earned premiums in Singapore, which is slightly higher than in Bermuda (29%–30%). Reinsurers in Singapore writing offshore business had expense ratios of 29% to 31%. Insurers classified as “direct insurers” exhibited higher and more volatile expense ratios, ranging from 39% to 51%. However, this difference is partially explained by variances in business written: “direct insurers” write more tailored specialty business, while reinsurers tend to have a higher proportion of large-ticket business. We expect expense ratios will decline over time as insurers and reinsurers defray fixed costs with higher premium volumes. The expansion of reinsurance capacity globally has contributed to recent market softening, and we expect this trend to weaken underwriting performance in Singapore over the next few years.


Management expenses (%) Loss ratio (%)


“The growing size of the Singapore hub has led to increasing sophistication of underwriters and products, which will contribute to the market’s resilience against large losses.”


46


Global Reinsurance Highlights 2014


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