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COMMENTAR Y


INVESTMENT RISK


Market risk Survey responses suggested the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent recession not only increased institutional investors’ desire to implement risk management practices, but directly influenced their priorities and the kinds of risk management practices implemented. For example, the low-yield environment, extreme market shifts, financial market contagion and liquidity responses were


Fig.2 Rating investment policy risk measures 0 = Not important at all 3 = Neutral 5 = Extremely important


Underachieving your overall return targets Underperforming against liabilities Underachieving your benchmark Reduction in the level of plan contributions VaR limits


Underperforming relative to your peer group Exceeding tracking error targets


4.5


4.25 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.9


2.75 012345


rated as the most important market risks facing institutional investors in the 2013 Risk Survey. In fact, 100% of pension funds rated “the interest rate and current yield environment” to be either an important or extremely important market risk. The market risk categories whose importance increased most since the 2005 survey were “derivatives volatility, extreme market shifts, liquidity, financial market contagion and credit/ counterparty default risks,” all emblematic of the 2008 financial crisis (see Fig.1, previous page).


Source: BNY Mellon


Investment risk measures In a significant shift since our 2005 survey, respondents to the 2013 survey rated “under-achieving overall return targets” and “underperforming versus liabilities” as their two most important risk policy measures (see Fig.2). Between the 2005 and 2013 risk surveys, these two measures increased more than any other response within this section. If one considers liabilities as a form of performance target, the general shift in the focus of risk management from relative-to- benchmark to relative-to-target outcome becomes even more apparent. The “reduction in the level of plan contributions, VAR, and exceeding tracking error targets” all support the importance of achieving objectives relative to targets. Drilling into the detail, we can see that 100% of public pension funds and 100% of endowments/foundations said “underachieving overall return targets” was “important or extremely important”; 84% of corporate pension funds indicated the same (see Fig.3). None of the endowments/foundations, public pensions or corporate pensions indicated underachieving return targets was unimportant. In some cases, achieving return targets also implies avoiding downside risk.


Fig.3 Rating the importance of not achieving your return targets Important or extremely important


Public pension fund Corporate pension fund Endowment and foundation


75% Neutral Not very important or not important at all 100% 84% 100% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 16% Fig.4 Rating the importance of underperforming against liabilities Extremely important


Public pension fund Corporate pension fund


0% 20% Important Neutral 53% 69% 40% 60% Not important at all 28% 25% 80% 14% 6% 100% 3% Source: BNY Mellon


In 2005, “underachieving your benchmark” was the most important market measure. Also, relative to the 2005 survey, “underachieving your benchmark” and “exceeding tracking error targets” dropped in importance more than any other response in this section. In contrast, only 50% of public pension funds and 39% of corporate pension funds said that “underachieving your benchmark” was “extremely important.” This represents an important finding because it shows a shift in approach away from chasing alpha and toward achieving specific targets since 2005.


OPERATIONAL RISK


Operational risk has taken on new-found significance in light of the spectacular failures in the financial industry during the 2008 financial crisis. Although operational risk is not a new field, arriving at its


48 Source: BNY Mellon


Performance versus liabilities Looking more closely at performance versus liabilities responses, we can see that 94% and 82% of corporate pensions and public pensions also indicated underperforming against liabilities was either extremely important or important (see Fig.4). The lower response from public plans relative to corporate plans is consistent with the differentiating characteristics of each investor type, in particular, accounting and regulatory differences and the differing sources of sponsor capital that, at the margin, encourage a different risk management perspective.


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