INDUSTRY I OPINION
PV through the ROC scheme can certainly be considered a success for the industry.
Summary
The UK is certain to install record levels of new solar PV capacity in 2013 and has already passed through the GW barrier for the first time. Whether calendar year deployment reaches the 1.5 GW or 2 GW level is subject to a wide range of factors that are yet to unfold.
Of course, while the global PV industry retains a fascination with calendar year rankings, much of the UK’s ground-mount pipeline could be installed again in the final fiscal quarter (January to March 2014). This could also become economically attractive if project developers anticipate any component ASP adjustments at the start of 2014 that make delaying final component delivery (modules, inverters) highly beneficial.
Beyond March 2014, the findings of the pending strategy review from DECC will go a long way to establishing the role of the large rooftop and ground-mount segments. And beyond 2017, the transition from ROCs to CfDs could ultimately be the deciding factor in the UK reaching its collective goal of 20 GW solar PV capacity in 2020. Finally, having public buy-in would not simply ease this growth trajectory, but actually has the scope to add upside to the 20 GW target.
©2013 Permission required. Angel Business Communications Ltd.
Figure 8: In contrast to the first large-scale boom of 2011, projects above 5 MW in size dominate the pipeline, with many projects exceeding the 20 MW level also
e:
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Issue III 2013 I
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