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News | FX FX comes into its own


Activity in the third quarter last year may have spluttered but foreign exchange has staged a strong comeback, according to the latest research from research consultancy Aite Group. It predicts that global FX retail trading volume will reach $380 bn a day in 2013, up 36% from last year while spot FX is estimated to climb to $2.2 bn in daily turnover by 2016, a 35% hike from 2010 levels. According to Aite Group’s


‘Global FX Market Update 2013: Increased Market Transparency, More Competition’, growth in the spot FX volumes are being driven by prime-brokered clients – retail FX brokers and hedge funds as well high frequency trading firms. It also expects other FX


Evolution of trading models in spot FX RFQ/RFS


FX Connect FXall


Currenex 360T


Molten markets


• First generation client-to- dealer price discovery/ trading mechanism


• Focus on post-trade support and netting; popular with asset managers and corporates


on both sides of the Atlantic will temper volume growth due to new margin requirements. This could result in industry participants choosing to let FX swaps expire or looking towards FX swap futures which offer alternative hedges on the futures/ on-exchange side of the market. As for the surge in retail


Howard Tai, Alte


products not impacted directly by regulations, such as outright forwards and FX swaps, to enjoy a similar growth trajectory. The largest daily trading


volume in FX has traditionally emanated from the swap part of the market, but there are clear signs that new regulations


Order book with last look


FXall


Hotspot FX Currenex FastMatch GAIN GTX FXCM Pro


• Second generation client-to- dealer price discovery/ trading mechanism


• Attractive for actively trading clients


• Typically linked with introduction of FX prime brokerage service


• Pre-trade anonymity with limited post-trade disclosure


Order book with no last look


EBS


Reuters matching LMAX exchange Molten markets ParFX


• Traditional interbank price discovery/trading mechanism


• Third generation client-to- dealer price discovery/ trading mechanism


• Pre-trade anonymity with varying degrees of post-trade transparency


Source: Aite Group, ‘Global FX Market Update 2013: Increased Market Transparency, More Competition’ 12


trading, the main driver is strong demand from Japan – the biggest FX retail trading hub. Aite believes it will account for around a third of all volume traded in the market, with a daily average of $130 bn expected this year. These two trends combined


with technological innovations and market structure changes will only help cement FX as an asset class for both retail and institutional investors. It is also expected to give rise to additional trading outlets. As Howard Tai, senior analyst in institutional securities & investments at Aite Group, noted, “FX customers now have more choices than ever in electronic trading venues. They can trade electronically via RFQ/ RFS in single- or multi-bank platforms, electronic crossing networks with streaming quotes and central limit order books, or exchange-style trading that supports pre-trade anonymity and full post-trade transparency. n


Best Execution | Summer 2013


Details


Sample FX venues


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