EDITORSVIEW
A growing concern R
ecent figures and analysis show that the solar and photovoltaic industries had a boom year in 2010 and the growth is expected to increase this year and beyond. Despite the positive assurances that this gives share holders around the world, exactly how useful is such global analysis?
The main concern with future predictions is they are made on a global scale as if the overall figures provide any useful information relating to where growth is occurring and at what rate. A number of countries have introduced subsidies in the last few years and yet Germany remains the single largest market by a large margin so the actual impact of other countries growth is yet to have a true impact on the global market. Many companies still rely on the upcoming subsidies on offer but the figures show that the long term markets are providing the best foundation at this stage.
The recent reaction from the industry to proposed changes by the UK government to the Feed in Tariff scheme demonstrated how fragile the global growth is for many of the players, some of who rely on the subsidy. The media coverage of the UK announcement was generally based on the fear of what the government might change in the subsidies proposed by the previous government. You would think the government had already agreed to reduce support to larger scale projects rather than announcing a review of the process.
The UK issue does raise the question of long term goals in the industry. Industry wants to make the greatest profits as soon as possible but governments and industry bodies tend to lean towards longer term goals with the creation of sustainable markets and industry being the goal. This difference in desires has to be put on the table when such reviews are put forth or there will only be a continued disagreement leading to further changes down the path.
A long term strategy suits the needs of all interested parties rather than a short term goal to please the greedy few.
David Ridsdale Editor-in-Chief
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Editor-in-Chief David Ridsdale +44 (0)1923 690210
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www.solar-pv-management.com Issue II 2011
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