WEEKLY NEWS


AVIATION FACES GROWING THREAT FROM HYBRID WARFARE


AIR CARG O WEEK


06


BY Edward HARDY


AIRFREIGHT and passenger aviation are confronting a rapidly evolving threat from drones and other modern interference, prompting calls for stronger regulation, technology deployment, and international coordination. The issue has been highlighted by a series of incidents in Europe,


including suspected drone incursions over Belgium, Denmark, and other NATO member states. Airports such as Brussels, Liege, and Aalborg were temporarily closed, while drones were observed over military installations and critical infrastructure. “Unmanned vehicles are crucial for not just e-commerce, but


humanitarian logistics, delivering vital healthcare and organs for transplant,” Glyn Hughes, Director General of TIACA, said. “The sector needs support and encouragement. At the same time, regulation and enforcement are essential to prevent interference and illegal activity.”


Regulatory challenges Regulating unmanned aerial


vehicles is complex, with current


legislation often relying on an “honour-based” system that fails against bad actors. “Legislation exists in many countries, but it assumes compliance.


The reality is there are operators deliberately flouting the rules,” Hughes said. “Technology is the answer. Military-grade systems can detect and neutralise drones, but civil aviation authorities must take responsibility for protecting airfields and core infrastructure.” The evolving nature of the threat means that national and


international frameworks must adapt continually. Associations like IATA, TIACA, and ACI could provide collective risk assessments to inform regulators without directly implementing technical solutions. “We can analyse potential risks and provide guidance, but deploying the technology is a matter for civil authorities,” Hughes


ACW 15 DECEMBER 2025


Coordination and development There is a clear need for international coordination, both through ICAO and regional alliances such as NATO and the EU. Recent European initiatives, including the EU’s multi-layered “drone wall” and defence roadmap targeting readiness by 2030, reflect growing concern over hybrid warfare threats from Russia. “We are operating in an evolving threat environment,” Hughes said.


“Cyber attacks and drones are similar in that they adapt quickly. There is no single, defined response. We need evolving regulatory and operational solutions that anticipate where threats could go.” European countries have reported drone incursions over airports


and military facilities, with Estonia, Poland, and Romania invoking NATO consultations under Article 4. A combination of regulation,


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said. “Airports operate in different environments. Liege may be able to neutralise a drone safely, whereas Heathrow cannot due to urban density. Regulations must reflect these realities.” The operational implications for airfreight are significant. Drones


over critical logistics hubs can delay shipments, disrupt cold-chain operations, and force diversions of time-sensitive cargo. However, even sophisticated regulations are insufficient without law enforcement support. “Regulations need to support


infrastructure protection, tools


and technology need to be in place, and law enforcement must act against violations,” he said. “These are true crimes, and perpetrators must be punished accordingly. “We have strong capabilities to react quickly, but it requires


regulators, technology, and law enforcement to work in concert. Technology exists to interfere with drone operations and neutralise them. Most systems are military-tested and proven. The challenge is deploying them safely in civilian environments.”


enforcement, and technological safeguards is required to maintain both security and operational continuity. “The industry must come together with regulatory authorities and law enforcement to protect core


infrastructure,” he said.


“Associations can raise awareness, but ultimately responsibility lies with national authorities to enforce rules and deploy protective technology.” The integration of airfreight and aviation into broader security


planning reflects the sector’s visibility and vulnerability. “Aviation is a critical global industry,” Hughes concluded. “Its visibility makes it a target, so we must continuously evolve. Regulations, technology, and law enforcement all need to act in tandem to protect passengers, cargo, and the broader supply chain.”


Market implications The convergence of drone threats, hybrid warfare, and regulatory uncertainty is reshaping airfreight markets. Delays, temporary airport closures, and security interventions increase operational costs and risk for carriers. Insurance premiums for air cargo and airport operations are likely to rise as these risks become quantified. Moreover, as EU and NATO states invest in air and space shields,


anti-drone systems, and multi-layered surveillance, procurement of protective technology is expected to grow. Hughes noted that while associations provide guidance, the deployment and maintenance of equipment will be government-led, signalling potential opportunities for defence and technology suppliers. “The market impact is clear: logistics operations will need to incorporate risk management


for drone interference as part of


standard operating procedures,” Hughes said. “This is not optional. It affects passenger humanitarian shipments.”


transport, high-value cargo, and critical


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