May 2020
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Bringing Manitoba back
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How do you define the middle class?
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A Roger Douglas Moment? Here’s the surprising way New Zealand’s labour Government reformed the country Peter Holle
litical leadership in most rich world countries chose to manage Covid-19 by closing down their economies – throwing millions out of work and bankrupting businesses. The cascad- ing economic carnage, surely pre- dictable, has prompted frantic emer- gency bail-out and welfare programs, decimating public finances across all government levels in Canada. This
T sledgehammer shutdown
strategy, based on garbage-in gar- bage-out computer modelling (that dramatically
overestimated fatality
rates) is turning out to be a case of the cure being worse than the disease.
here will be an acrimonious debate in the future as his- torians dissect how the po-
Calling a john a john!
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How washing your hands deals with COVID-19
ting down their society – will keep their economies and public finances mostly intact. Ironically, experts pre- dict Sweden’s approach will produce roughly equivalent outcomes to the shutdown society countries; fatality rates equivalent to those occurring from the flu in a typical year. The question of why so many gov- ernments chose to press the nuclear button, and so quickly, will be in- tensely studied in the future. But, that ‘why’ discussion is for another day.
Roger Douglas served as a member of New Zealand’s Parliament and was best known for his time as the Finance Minister.
The few countries taking a more nu- anced approach – like Sweden which has focused on protecting vulnerable populations and not completely shut-
Enormous damage has been done. Manitoba, swept up in the shutdown scramble, could be on track to insol- vency within the next 18 months. Here is what’s coming. Multi-billion dollar deficits projected going for- ward, with $5 billion in new debt this year alone.
u 4 ‘A Roger Douglas moment?’
this year. Mean temperatures, he says will average between 13.8 C and 15.5 C. Normal mean tem- perature in July is 19.7 C.
Cool summer predicted R
ay Garnett, author of the Ray Garnett Cli- mate and Crop Letter, informs us that he expects it to be a cool spring and summer
He says it will also be a dry spring; Manitoba re- ceived low precipitation pre-spring (March) at just 65 to 86 per cent of normal. The sunspot cycle is 11 years. Typically, when sunspot activity is high, we see a corresponding increase in temperatures and lower temperatures in low sunspot years. Ray reports that there has been
to deal with viruses? First, you need to use soap and you need to
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extra low sunspot activity at just 1.7 sunspots per month since last September and this is expected to continue through August of this year. The last time we saw this kind of low sunspot activity was 2009, the year of H1N1 and the global recession. Normal activity runs between 16 and 19 sunspots a month.
Climatologists have been monitoring sunspot activity for many years. In the 18th century, re- duced sunspot activity corresponded with a drop in temperatures so severe it is now known as the Little Ice Age. It was so cold, the River Thames in London Froze over.
rub that soapy foam all over your hands for 15 to 20 seconds. Just dipping your fingers into some running water will not do the trick. So how does this work? Many viruses and germs are protected by lipid membranes, a fatty coating. Soap dissolves this coating and the pathogen breaks down. At the molecular level, soap has a “hydro-
philic” head that bonds with water and a “hy- drophobic” tail that bonds with oil and fat. The pathogen is destroyed when the tail of the soap molecule attaches itself to and wedges apart the fatty coating of the pathogen. The object of their desire is then effectively destroyed. Soap also interferes with the chemical bond
that allows dirt and other substances (including the remnants of the virus) to stick to surfaces (including skin), scooping them up into tiny floating cages that can be rinsed way with water. Alcohol does much the same thing, but it is not as effective in washing away the residue. Magic, eh? Wash your hands! And dry them thoroughly.
he mantra, “Wash your hands” should be drilled into your psyche by now, but have you ever wondered just how this works
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