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Quilter Cheviot


INVESTING IN AGRICULTURE: SUSTAINABILITY AND THE NEXT GENERATION


Agriculture is not a market for the faint hearted, with volatility inherent in both the creation of the product, and how the market reacts to it. Farmers can’t reliably predict, for example, how much wheat they are likely to produce in a given year.


Due to the impact of supply and demand on prices, they find it difficult to predict what prices they will receive for their product either. So far, so capricious. And even though their world may be a million miles away from the City, fluctuations in currency will also have a huge impact on the bottom line. For example, the gods of good fortune can be aligned, with favourable growing conditions, an optimal crop and a level of global supply that will ensure the market is not flooded by product causing prices to lessen, when political or financial events - such as terrorism, or a major corporation folding - will cause a drop in the pound, or for its strength to increase relative to other crop-producing nations, meaning suddenly a farmer’s prices are less attractive and they either have greater difficulty selling their crops, or must accept that their profit margin will be greatly eroded.


It is, then, a somewhat precarious investment category. However, some of farming’s vulnerabilities as an industry can actually lead to opportunities for the investor. For example, ‘one to watch’ in the agricultural economy is the provision of water: population is growing driving higher water demand, just as changing weather patterns lead to scarcity of fresh water across the world. And no industry needs these innovations quite like agriculture. It is a very thirsty industry, currently consuming more than two-thirds of the world’s fresh water for both irrigation and livestock rearing. For example, cattle consume around 95 to190 litres of water per day, compared to approximately 150 litres per day per person in the developed world and cereal crop farmers using conventional methods of irrigation can waste up to 40% of the water used, especially in developing countries.


This issue is driving utilities and regulators to explore ways of maximising water supply, such as new types of infrastructure (e.g. reservoirs, water pipelines and desalination) and new operating models which can help drive greater levels of water efficiency. For example, a US-based farming supplier has developed central pivot mechanised irrigation with very low rates (around 5%) of water.


Similarly, because of the caprices of the agricultural environment, many farmers are adding a side-line in the production of renewable energy and are welcoming investment. Figures from the Department for the Environment,


QUILTER CHEVIOT Two, Snowhill Birmingham B4 6GA TEL: 0121 212 2120 WWW.QUILTERCHEVIOT.COM


Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) showed that in 2010, almost 5% of commercial holdings were producing renewable energy on their farm, for example by harnessing slurries, food and plant waste to produce bio-gas, and using willow, wood waste and crops to produce electricity. Other farmers are exploring the possibilities of getting the most out of their land by generating solar farms.


As the agricultural industry seeks new ways of operating in, and catering to, a carbon-constrained world, we expect innovations like these to see favourable returns on investment in the coming years. Investors can also be heartened that in using their portfolio to support sustainability, and specifically sustainability in agriculture, they are not only helping to protect their own future, but that of the planet too.


Quilter Cheviot are proud sponsors of the very first BBC Countryfile Live, a major new countryside event that will bring Britain’s most watched factual television show to life. The show will run at Blenheim Palace from 4 – 7 August. For more information please visit: www.quiltercheviot.com/countryfile-live.


For more information contact Sean Raftery on 0121 710 3808 / sean.raftery@quiltercheviot.com


Investors should remember that the value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up. Investors may not recover what they invest. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.


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