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While Scott and Beyer are both strong


candidates for the Senate seat, some ana- lysts predict the nod will go to Scott. “The governor loves the idea of being a history maker,” says Kidd. “He’s demonstrated a clear interest in increasing the voice of minorities, African-Americans in particular, with his stands on voter restoration rights and lawsuits over redistricting.” Geoffrey Skelley, a political analyst at


the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia in Charlottesville, agrees that history and political convenience will drive Scott’s appointment. If Scott is the appoin- tee and runs to complete Kaine’s term, says Skelley, his presence on the Democratic ticket would help generate a bigger turnout of African-American voters in the 2017 off-year gubernatorial election. That should help Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam, the pre- sumed Democratic nominee for governor. On the Republican side, Skelley


speculates that Scott may get competition from Reps. Dave Brat from the 7th District in Central Virginia or Barbara Comstock from the 10th District in Northern Virginia. “The special election presents an opportunity for sitting members of Congress that are Republicans in the state, because there’s no resign-to-run law in Virginia, and they can run from the safety of their seat. They don’t have to choose between running for re-election and run- ning for the Senate seat in the special elec- tion,” Skelley says. If Scott is appointed to the Senate seat,


the move would create an opening in the 3rd District, a “minority majority” district. Kidd says he can think of several African- American candidates from that area who might be interested in running for Scott’s seat, including state Sen. Mamie Locke and Delegates Lamont Bagby and Marcia “Cia” Price.


Virginia’s third VP On a historical note, if Clinton and


Kaine are elected, Kaine would be the third Virginian to assume the vice presidency. Thomas Jefferson served as the coun-


try’s second vice president under President John Adams from 1797 to 1801, before becoming president in 1801 and serving two terms. John Tyler, who was born in Charles


City County, became vice president in 1841. A month after taking that office, he


www.VirginiaBusiness.com


became the first vice president to become president due to the death of his predeces- sor. President William Henry Harrison, also a Charles City native, caught a cold during his 90-minute inauguration speech and died from pneumonia. Virginia, long known as the birthplace


for presidents, has been in a dry spell. If Clinton and Kaine win, would this set the state up for its 9th president? “The moment you’re vice president,


that greatly raises the odds that you are at least considering a future run for president,”


says Skelley. “A lot would depend on what happens with Clinton and her presidency.” Still, the VP role would give Kaine a


chance to consolidate his position in the party, gain allies behind the scenes and position himself for a future run. But first the Democrats have to win. Kidd expects the race to tighten as it


nears the finish line. He predicts a three to five point win for the Democrats over Trump and Pence. “It really depends on how much the third-party candidates pull,” he says.


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