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SECTOR-BY-SECTOR OPPORTUNITIES 119


The AU has been proactive in marine, road, air and rail transport. Progress is being made, but rail – potentially the most cost-effective mode – is lagging behind, writes Jonathan Hyman


T


he African Union (AU) was established in 2002 to develop the work of its predecessor, the Organisation of African Unity. The AU aims to accelerate the process


of integration across the continent, and to enable it to play its rightful role in the global economy while addressing multifaceted social, economic and political problems. Peace, security and justice have been


the principal focuses of the organisation. Indeed, as declared in the AU’s founding charter, peaceful intergovernmental relations and domestic security are the fundamental preconditions for social and economic development, closer regional relations and integration. But these goals of achieving greater unity and solidarity – promoting political and socio-economic integration, sustainable development and cooperation in all fields of human activity to raise living standards within the continent – can be achieved only through developing the region’s physical connections, thereby facilitating the exchange of peoples, ideas and trade. The political and security picture in


Africa has improved immeasurably in recent years, with political regimes opening up and conflicts becoming less frequent. Every year the electoral calendar in sub-Saharan Africa becomes more crowded, and every year most posts – from the presidency to seats in the National Assembly and town mayoralties – are competed for, rather than seized or bestowed. Sub-Saharan Africa has no shortage of failed states, such as Somalia and Zimbabwe, but some have been rescued, including Liberia and Sierra Leone, while transfers of power by unconstitutional means appear to be


declining. However, in terms of transport infrastructure, despite several infrastructure development programmes since the late 1970s, Africa still has a long way to go. For decades, sub-Saharan Africa’s


abysmal infrastructure has held back the continent’s competitiveness, economic growth prospects and standards of living. According to the Economist Intelligence Unit, the regional economy is forecast to grow by five to six percent per year over the medium term. This growth will place even greater strain on the continent’s insufficient infrastructure to meet strong international demand for commodity exports, especially from Asia, and rising domestic consumer demand for both domestic and imported goods, driven in particular by rapid urbanization. Infrastructure investment is increasing substantially, underpinned by the revenue effects of high commodity prices, generous and cheap loans and resources-for-infrastructure deals from China, strong donor support, and a rise in private participation.


Costly and inefficient According to the Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic (AICD, a study on Africa’s infrastructure conducted by the World Bank in partnership with other organizations), the region experiences the worst rates of service disruption, and frequently higher costs, than any other region, owing to inefficiency, inadequate competition and higher operating costs. Transport costs as a share of trade are an estimated 30-40 percent higher than in other developing regions. Most ports are inefficient, with container waiting times averaging 12 days in East Africa and 15 days in West Africa – well above the international benchmark of seven days or fewer. Some challenges are difficult to address, such as low population density and geography – 15 African countries are landlocked – and these problems raise the costs of infrastructure provision. To address infrastructure shortfalls,


Africa needs to spend $93 billion per year, INVEST IN AFRICA 2011


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