China and the world 1: strategic relationships 229

unprecedented since in 2000 Kim Jong-Il had met Kim Dae-jung, who, as President of South Korea at the time, was pursing a ‘sunshine policy’ of rapprochement towards his northern neighbour. The 2007 meeting followed protracted confi dential negotiations between the two sides and an international agreement that had been reached to provide aid for North Korea in exchange for disarmament and which had resulted in the closure of the Yongbyon reactor in July 2007. Cynics suggested that one reason for the meeting was an attempt to bolster the chances of the South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun in elections which were due in December 2007. President Roh was nearing the end of his fi rst term of offi ce as President and polls indicated that he was running second to the opposition Grand National Party which has a hard-line approach to North Korea.

After the three-day meeting, the two sides issued a declaration in which they called for an international conference which would conclude with a treaty to take the place of the armistice, still the only formal conclusion to the Korean War. Parallel negotiations included discussions on continued nuclear decommissioning, cross-border freight transport and fi shing in the disputed western maritime borders. Although the summit was greeted with relief and a degree of enthusiasm, it was not at all clear whether any substantive changes had taken place.25 At the end of November 2007, there was more optimism about the reduction of tensions between North Korea and the United States than there had been for many years. There were reports that a US diplomat had established an offi ce in Pyongyang to act as liaison offi cer between the two governments and that arrangements were being made for others to join him in preparation for the anticipated normalisation of diplomatic relations.26

There were also rumours that changes in the government

of North Korea were imminent. Intelligence from Pyongyang suggested that Jang Song-taek, the brother-in-law of the Dear Leader Kim Jong-il, had been appointed head of Pyongyang’s security service. Korean analysts view Mr Jang as less narrow-minded and more outward-looking than most of the Pyongyang leadership and this is attributed to his extensive overseas experience. He has a reputation as an economic reformer, one of a minority within the North Korean elite, and was reported to have been directing a project to create a Chinese-style special economic zone close to the country’s border with the PRC.27

Regular rail links between North and South Korea began on 12 December 2007: initially these only involved freight trains and, although there were hopes that people would be able to cross the border by rail in the future, there were no announcements of immediate plans to resume passenger services. The economies of both Koreas stand to gain considerably from this traffi c.28 By the end of 2007, it was beginning to be assumed that, after decades of recurrent crises, the normalisation of relations between North Korea and its former adversaries was fi nally becoming a reality. In early December, the President of the United States, George W. Bush, wrote a personal letter to Kim Jong-Il urging the North Korean government to honour undertakings that it had made in the six-party negotiations and reveal full details of their nuclear programmes. A positive reply was received by the White House. This was a verbal rather than a written response and it was not immediately clear whether it had come from Kim personally, but this Page 1  |  Page 2  |  Page 3  |  Page 4  |  Page 5  |  Page 6  |  Page 7  |  Page 8  |  Page 9  |  Page 10  |  Page 11  |  Page 12  |  Page 13  |  Page 14  |  Page 15  |  Page 16  |  Page 17  |  Page 18  |  Page 19  |  Page 20  |  Page 21  |  Page 22  |  Page 23  |  Page 24  |  Page 25  |  Page 26  |  Page 27  |  Page 28  |  Page 29  |  Page 30  |  Page 31  |  Page 32  |  Page 33  |  Page 34  |  Page 35  |  Page 36  |  Page 37  |  Page 38  |  Page 39  |  Page 40  |  Page 41  |  Page 42  |  Page 43  |  Page 44  |  Page 45  |  Page 46  |  Page 47  |  Page 48  |  Page 49  |  Page 50  |  Page 51  |  Page 52  |  Page 53  |  Page 54  |  Page 55  |  Page 56  |  Page 57  |  Page 58  |  Page 59  |  Page 60  |  Page 61  |  Page 62  |  Page 63  |  Page 64  |  Page 65  |  Page 66  |  Page 67  |  Page 68  |  Page 69  |  Page 70  |  Page 71  |  Page 72  |  Page 73  |  Page 74  |  Page 75  |  Page 76  |  Page 77  |  Page 78  |  Page 79  |  Page 80  |  Page 81  |  Page 82  |  Page 83  |  Page 84  |  Page 85  |  Page 86  |  Page 87  |  Page 88  |  Page 89  |  Page 90  |  Page 91  |  Page 92  |  Page 93  |  Page 94  |  Page 95  |  Page 96  |  Page 97  |  Page 98  |  Page 99  |  Page 100  |  Page 101  |  Page 102  |  Page 103  |  Page 104  |  Page 105  |  Page 106  |  Page 107  |  Page 108  |  Page 109  |  Page 110  |  Page 111  |  Page 112  |  Page 113  |  Page 114  |  Page 115  |  Page 116  |  Page 117  |  Page 118  |  Page 119  |  Page 120  |  Page 121  |  Page 122  |  Page 123  |  Page 124  |  Page 125  |  Page 126  |  Page 127  |  Page 128  |  Page 129  |  Page 130  |  Page 131  |  Page 132  |  Page 133  |  Page 134  |  Page 135  |  Page 136  |  Page 137  |  Page 138  |  Page 139  |  Page 140  |  Page 141  |  Page 142  |  Page 143  |  Page 144  |  Page 145  |  Page 146  |  Page 147  |  Page 148  |  Page 149  |  Page 150  |  Page 151  |  Page 152  |  Page 153  |  Page 154  |  Page 155  |  Page 156  |  Page 157  |  Page 158  |  Page 159  |  Page 160  |  Page 161  |  Page 162  |  Page 163  |  Page 164  |  Page 165  |  Page 166  |  Page 167  |  Page 168  |  Page 169  |  Page 170  |  Page 171  |  Page 172  |  Page 173  |  Page 174  |  Page 175  |  Page 176  |  Page 177  |  Page 178  |  Page 179  |  Page 180  |  Page 181  |  Page 182  |  Page 183  |  Page 184  |  Page 185  |  Page 186  |  Page 187  |  Page 188  |  Page 189  |  Page 190  |  Page 191  |  Page 192  |  Page 193  |  Page 194  |  Page 195  |  Page 196  |  Page 197  |  Page 198  |  Page 199  |  Page 200  |  Page 201  |  Page 202  |  Page 203  |  Page 204  |  Page 205  |  Page 206  |  Page 207  |  Page 208  |  Page 209  |  Page 210  |  Page 211  |  Page 212  |  Page 213  |  Page 214  |  Page 215  |  Page 216  |  Page 217  |  Page 218  |  Page 219  |  Page 220  |  Page 221  |  Page 222  |  Page 223  |  Page 224  |  Page 225  |  Page 226  |  Page 227  |  Page 228  |  Page 229  |  Page 230  |  Page 231  |  Page 232  |  Page 233  |  Page 234  |  Page 235  |  Page 236  |  Page 237  |  Page 238  |  Page 239  |  Page 240  |  Page 241  |  Page 242  |  Page 243  |  Page 244  |  Page 245  |  Page 246  |  Page 247  |  Page 248  |  Page 249  |  Page 250  |  Page 251  |  Page 252  |  Page 253  |  Page 254  |  Page 255  |  Page 256  |  Page 257  |  Page 258  |  Page 259  |  Page 260  |  Page 261  |  Page 262  |  Page 263  |  Page 264  |  Page 265  |  Page 266  |  Page 267  |  Page 268  |  Page 269  |  Page 270  |  Page 271  |  Page 272  |  Page 273  |  Page 274  |  Page 275  |  Page 276  |  Page 277  |  Page 278  |  Page 279  |  Page 280  |  Page 281  |  Page 282  |  Page 283  |  Page 284  |  Page 285  |  Page 286  |  Page 287  |  Page 288  |  Page 289  |  Page 290  |  Page 291  |  Page 292  |  Page 293  |  Page 294  |  Page 295  |  Page 296  |  Page 297  |  Page 298  |  Page 299  |  Page 300  |  Page 301  |  Page 302  |  Page 303  |  Page 304  |  Page 305  |  Page 306  |  Page 307  |  Page 308