Earth sciences and energy
It could become more
diffi cult to satisfy the
demand for oil from places
like China and India.
T
he collapse in the price of oil from its lation or delay of others, possibly resulting
historic highs in the summer of 2008 in a medium-term supply shortage.’
has fundamentally changed thinking about
the world’s most traded commodity. Declines and delays
Energy industry leaders and analysts Projects in high-cost areas, such as Cana-
suggest that the drop in price will make da’s oil sands and in the deep waters of
I
N
K it more diffi cult to develop untapped oil west Africa, are already being delayed and
R
A
P
reserves to meet the future demand of coun- the International Energy Agency (IEA) does
J
I
M
;
tries, such as China and India, and could not see Russia, the world’s second largest
M
O
.
C
prolong the world economic downturn. oil exporter, being able to increase its
T
O
O
Concerns centre on security of supply production at all in a draft of the Paris-based
P
H
K rather than the environment and this point agency’s latest forecast to 2030.
C
T
O
was made by the Organisation of the Petro- Many of the former Soviet Union’s biggest
I
S
/
M leum Exporting Countries (Opec) oil cartel oil fi elds are ageing, and tax cuts meant to
O
F
.
C
in its October communiqué, in the hope of give companies incentives to develop new
R
3
2
justifying its decision to cut production by fi elds and help boost the production of old
/
1
S
D
as much as 1.8 million barrels a day. ones are too little, too late, executives and
R
A
H The statement read: ‘Oil prices have wit- analysts say.
I
C
Y
R
nessed a dramatic collapse – unprecedented But the problem spreads far beyond
M
E
R in speed and magnitude – with these falling Russia. In fact, the IEA believes the single
;
J
E
L
E to levels which may put at jeopardy many most important factor in deciding how hard
D
I
R
existing oil projects and lead to the cancel- the energy industry will have to work to
G
E
C
A
R
B
N
»Many of the small oil companies that tackled
;
I
A
M
O
these diffi cult-to-work fi elds are now struggling
.
C
K
C
T
O as their share prices have dropped and, in some
S
R
T
T
E
cases, the credit crunch has eaten into their
U
H
S
©
ability to fund production programmes.
www.yearofplanetearth.org PLANET EARTH 59
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