INDUSTRYREGION
50% self-consumption will be hit hardest, reaching € 0.09/kWh in 2012. BelPV claims, however, that
200 MW of new PV capacity could be added in 2011 alone.
would be handled within 2 months by VREG. Smaller systems of up to 10 kW apparently are registered on a more regular basis, see Fig. 2. In Flanders, large-scale power plants >1 MW accounted for 77 MW of accumulated capacity (fig.1) - almost 29% of the volume of the >10 kW category, and 9% of the total capacity.
Fig. 2 shows newly VREG-registered capacities on an average daily basis per period, with trend lines. >10 kW installations (green columns) are unevenly distributed, with high capacities in May and July 2010. Growth collapsed in January 2011, and it is expected that with new tariff cuts for solar electricity this market segment might face further troubles.
However, new registrations for the small category (blue columns) remain at a healthy, relatively constant level (roughly 300-600 kW/day), apart from the small “end-of-year 2010 rush” (816 kW/day).
In December 2010, just prior to a 2 Eurocent/kWh cut in feed-in tariffs, 6.000 new requests would have been filed with VREG. This used to be 2.500 per month earlier in the year.
In Flanders, approximately 60% of the accumulated capacity of 670 MW reached end of Jan. 2011 falls within the <=10 kW category. Approximately 106W per inhabitant has been realised (in nominal DC power that could be 118 Wp/inhabitant, as compared to 192 Wp per inhabitant that was recorded in Germany at the end of November).
Policy proposal
Flanders is now confronted with a legislation proposal, which was very slightly changed following a storm of protest by the solar industry in November 2010, that will further bring down the
value of green certificates for PV from today’s €0.33/k Wh in 3-month steps each of 2-4 Eurocent/kWh. >1 MW installations with less than
Wallonia has performed less well than previously, and on a much smaller scale. CWaPE reported 37.3 MW capacity in new installations in 2009, and the Brussels magazine Hernieuws estimated 80 MW end-of-year capacity for 2010, which gives a growth of 33 MW for that year. In view of the abolishment of regional incentives apart from a green certificate regime, it is a relatively minor market. 95% of installations are residential, 2010 resulting in an accumulation of 24 W/inhabitant.
Regulator Brugel reported in June 2010 that the capital, Brussels, had added 3,4 MW of capacity in 2009 (accumulation: 4.1 MW). Hernieuws suggested accumulations of 4.2 MW (2009) and 5.1 MW for 2010. Hence, a meagre growth of only 0.9 MW in 2010, possibly due to the abolishment of a regional incentive without compensation in the green certificate legislation (as in the case of Wallonia). Mostly small installations have been realized, with a few 50-100 kW projects reported (2009-2010). Only 5.1 W/inhabitant would have accumulated at the end of 2010.
The end of 2010 saw an accumulated volume of approximately 740 MW in Belgium, enabling the country to establish its 5th position in the EU ranks, before France. 88% of capacity is in Flanders. While Hernieuws and VREG data totalled up to 385 MW for Belgium in 2009, EurObserv’ER recently counted 363 MWp DC capacity.
Based on the original AC data, 2010 could have seen 354 MW growth. With a population of 10.8 million, the country would have reached a level of 68 W of solar capacity per inhabitant (75 Wp DC).
The status of the Belgian market and the expected developments of the near future will be discussed during The Solar Future: Belgium. This high-level conference focuses on the business opportunities for photovoltaic solar energy (PV) in Belgium.
Belgian and international experts discuss the current and expected rules and regulations, the international developments and cost trends in the fast growing PV industry, the practical experiences, the expectations and chances for further development of the Belgian market.
© 2011 Angel Business Communications. Permission required.
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