DECEMBER 12, 2010


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2 SECTIONS 16 PAGES VOL. 112 NO.063


HOLIDAY ACTIONS FOR BIODIVERSITY—A WISH LIST


The Green RevolutionB8 Trusted since 1898 ARCILLA ENTERPCA FINALS KRAWCZYK, SportsA7


REP. BOLET BANAL’S LOVE FOR BOOKS


www.manilatimes.net


■ A hacker from the French Degenerescience association visits the anti-secrecy website WikiLeaks, in a coffeehouse in Lille, northern France, on December 9. These hackers decided to support Wikileaks with a synchronized network of mirror websites, exact copies of Wikileaks' original pages, after the French government called for a ban of WikiLeaks from French servers. AFP PHOTO


» Sunday Times MagazineB1


Special Report WIKILEAKS


WikiLeaks cables release reshapes diplomatic landscape


waves that will eventually calm, or a brick though the window of the State


Does it really? STRATFOR analysts don’t think so P


BY PHILIPPE RATER AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE ARIS: Was the WikiLeaks cable


release a stone thrown into the waters of US diplomacy, causing


Department, causing irreparable harm? With only 1,200 of the quarter million stolen US diplomatic telegrams so far released, it is perhaps too early to understand all the repercussions for the sole superpower’s international standing and for current crises.


But it is already possible to see certain diplomatic realignments— some aspects of foreign relations may never be the same again. One of the early surprises was the revelation of the extent to which Arab fears of a future nuclear-armed Iran have put them on the same page as their traditional foe Israel in pushing for military action against Tehran. Washington’s inability to keep its secrets secret has seen it lose face with rising rival China, and Beijing has been careful not to let its own guard down, giving a careful response to leaked criticisms of its policy. European governments have denounced the documents leak as irresponsible and dangerous, and some leaders have been embar- rassed by the often frank opinions US diplomats have of them, but most denied the slow dump has harmed ties.


»STRATFOR analysis


WikiLeaks and American diplomacy


WIKILEAKS released the much-anticipated first tranche of more than 250,000 US State Department diplomatic cables on Sunday (November ??), releasing just fewer than 300 individual documents by the time of writing on Monday (it will take some time for the full archive of diplomatic cables obtained by WikiLeaks—many lengthy—to be


➤DiplomacyA2


REACH US AT: E-mail: newsboy1@manilatimes.net Tel. Nos.: 524-5664 to 67 Address: 2/F Dante Ang and Associates Building, 409 A. Soriano Avenue, Intramuros, Manila 1020


WASHINGTON, D.C.: WikiLeaks has di- vulged a secret list of key infrastruc- ture sites around the world that the United States believes could pose a critical danger to its security if they come under terrorist attack. The newly released diplomatic ca-


ble threatens to be the most explosive yet out of many divulged by the whis- tle-blowing website that have heaped embarrassment on Washington and caused anger around the world. Among other revelations, the lat- est WikiLeaks document dump


»STRATFOR news analysis WikiLeaks releases list of global sites ‘vital’ to US


showed Australia’s then leader Kevin Rudd warning US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton that force might be needed against China “if everything goes wrong.” A February 2009 cable from the State Department asked overseas US


missions to list infrastructure and key resources around the globe “whose loss could critically impact the public health, economic security and/or na- tional and homeland security of the United States.”


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WikiLeaks and US critical infrastructure


➤CablesA2 »STRATFOR analysis


A US State Department cable requesting that regional security of- ficers, political officers and State Department employees update a 2008 list of critical infrastructure abroad for inclusion in a list of foreign and domestic critical infrastructure (and key resources) maintained by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has generated much media interest. Much of the frenzy arose after former British Defense Minister and Foreign Secretary Malcolm Rifkind on December 6 called the leaked document “the kind of information terrorists are interested in.”


The Assange arrest and WikiLeaks’ survival


Summary WIKILEAKS founder Julian Assange surrendered to authorities in


Britain on December 7, following an Interpol Red Notice based on a Swedish arrest warrant. WikiLeaks is a relatively young organization with one leader and has not institutionalized a set of practices and protocols that guarantee its survival even if the personnel changes. Assange’s arrest will test the organization’s ability to maintain itself, but the use of the Internet to leak documents will continue.


Analysis


London Metropolitan police arrested Julian Assange, the founder and public spokesman for WikiLeaks, at 9:30 a.m. local time on December 7 after Assange turned himself in. He is due to appear in a court in Westminster soon over sexual assault charges filed against him in Sweden and faces possible extradition.


➤SurvivalA2


➤CriticalA2


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